Author: Andrew Dados
Date: 10:30:07 12/24/00
Go up one level in this thread
On December 24, 2000 at 13:11:49, Christophe Theron wrote: >On December 24, 2000 at 09:09:27, Jeroen Noomen wrote: > >>My congratulations to Vishy Anand, for winning the >>FIDE World Championship 2000! >> >>3,5-0,5 in the final against Shirov, that leaves no >>discussion whatsoever. Anand was the best, remained >>unbeaten and scored a clear victory in the final. >>Well done! >> >>Jeroen > > >I am still absolutely amazed that a World Championship can be decided this way. > >A score of 3.5-0.5 is not statistically significant, not even with a low >confidence. > Same applies to any game, including basketball, soccer, you name it. And yet we need a winner...and you can't ask them to play 200 games or at least to 7 points difference. I take it for what it is: in those 4 games Anand was better (_much_ better). >It is now clear, at least amongst the experienced computers chess operators, >that such a result means NOTHING. > >I think that the computer chess community is on some topics much more advanced >than the human chess community. For example the human chess community has >adopted the ELO rating system, but still ignores most of the basic rules of this >system (margin of error, level of confidence). The computer chess community is >aware of these rules, and you can find these parameters published in the SSDF >rating list for example. > Guys who take bets in Vegas based on e.g. spread of points in basketball were aware of that long before us. Merry Christmas! (100% confidence here) -Andrew- > > > Christophe
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