Author: Christophe Theron
Date: 10:58:33 12/24/00
Go up one level in this thread
On December 24, 2000 at 13:33:25, Uri Blass wrote:
>On December 24, 2000 at 13:11:49, Christophe Theron wrote:
>
>>On December 24, 2000 at 09:09:27, Jeroen Noomen wrote:
>>
>>>My congratulations to Vishy Anand, for winning the
>>>FIDE World Championship 2000!
>>>
>>>3,5-0,5 in the final against Shirov, that leaves no
>>>discussion whatsoever. Anand was the best, remained
>>>unbeaten and scored a clear victory in the final.
>>>Well done!
>>>
>>>Jeroen
>>
>>
>>I am still absolutely amazed that a World Championship can be decided this way.
>>
>>A score of 3.5-0.5 is not statistically significant, not even with a low
>>confidence.
>
>The question is if all the assumptions about comp-comp games are similiar in
>human-human games.
>
>I think that the number of draws in human-human games is bigger and it make the
>result of 3.5-.5 more significant.
>
>Chess is also not the same as dropping a coin.
>There are preperation of both sides and if one side did better preperations it
>cannot be described as luck.
>
>We need a better model.
>
>>
>>It is now clear, at least amongst the experienced computers chess operators,
>>that such a result means NOTHING.
>
>I think that nothing is not accurate.
>
>If you decide that the winner is better you will still be correct in most of the
>cases.
>
>If you can guess the better program and if you are correct in 55% or 60% of the
>cases it means more than nothing.
>
>Uri
You have splitted the hair is the right direction, Uri.
I apologize, I should not have written "NOTHING". I should have written
"nothing" instead.
Christophe
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