Author: Bruce Moreland
Date: 23:50:11 02/25/98
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On February 25, 1998 at 15:19:50, Don Dailey wrote: >But now a good question is: What does the probability measure? Is it >the probability that the computer will win? I think the correct >interpretation should be "the probability that the position is a won >position." A dead draw should be considered as 50% of a win, or 50% >probability of winning. If we say it's the probability that the >computer will win, then it's completely ambiguous, because we do not >know what assumptions to make about the strength of the opponent! If >Cilkchess is down half a pawn against most humans then it's chances of >winning are still greater than 50%. Another possible interpretation >is the probability of winning against an equal opponent (whatever that >is!) It can't be the probability that the computer will win, because your opponent has something to say about that. bruce
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