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Subject: Pouring oil on the fire

Author: Gian-Carlo Pascutto

Date: 15:03:49 06/15/01


I witnessed a little flamewar below, and there's several comments I'd
like to make so as to increase understanding between the members of this
forum.

Or maybe it'll get you all to hate each other and me more, whatever...

I've snipped out the relevant parts:

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>The ELO rating is only one measure, but not the only one. For example,
>>>there's no ELO for Lasker, Capablanca, Rubinstein. How then do you know how
>>>strong they were?

>>You are incorrect..... you can calculate Elo for all past players, Because we
>>know the games they won, lost and drew....If you would like to see them go to
>>www.chessmetrics.com

>No.. that shows you don't understand statistical sampling.  You are
>saying Elo is "absolute".  I can prove it is _not_.

What the hell are you talking about... I never said that. When Did I ever say
ratings were """"""""ABSOLUTE""""""""""". I said you can calculate ratings for
past players....and Ratings is the only measure we use in chess. I NEVER said
RATINGS are ABSOLUTE.... Ratings are calculated for that pool of players, If you
think the rankings are incorrect you better take a look at the past list because
you will find what history tell us were the strongest players of the day are
also RANKED #1 on the repective lists. The Rating numbers themselve don't mean
anything 2700,2800,2900 etc. What matters is the point spread from one player to
the next. Don't put words in my mouth and then tell me I don't understand
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Mark, you don't understand.

The discussion was about establishing an objective (absolute) bound as
the what strength a GM should be. Jorge pointed out that ELO could not
be a good criterium because of several reasons, on of which being that
there are no known ELO ratings for old players.

To that, you replied that you could calculate ELO ratings for those older
players.

Robert corrected you that ELO is not an absolute measure.

Now, you claim you have never said that ELO was an absolute measure.
You did not say it in words, but it is directly implied from the
context in which you posted the list.

The problem is not that ELO is relative measure, I see you understand that.
The problem is that because of ELO being relative to other players
it is also a relative measure in time.

Hence, it cannot be used to compare players from different timeframes in
any objective way, which was that the discussion was all about.

You may not have used the word 'absolute', but by posting that ELO
for older players can be calculated in direct response to someone
making a point about ELO being useless to compare players from different
timeframes in order to get an absolute measure, you are DIRECTLY inferring
that ELO can be used to compare players from different timeframes in
an absolute way.

Your failure to grasp this is clearly illustrated by the following
sentence:

>What matters is the point spread from one player to the next.

So if Aljechin was 100 ELO points better than Euwe, that means
he is equal to Kasparov which is 100 points better than Shirov.

You cannot _only_ just compare the point differences and come up
with something meaningfull. You have to have a base to compare
to. And that base is not portable between timeframes.

Putting that base at a fixed ELO number is not going to work because
ELO is a relative measure (gee, thats what you've been saying, right?).

Comparing a player to the peers of his time (what chessmetrics does)
is also not going to work because a weaker player will get a higher
rating if the overall playing strength drops (for example in timeframes
where there is relatively little interest in chess), and a strong
player will get a low rating if his peers are also very strong.

ELO cannot be used to set an absolute mark to be a grandmaster if
you expect them to be a minimal strength. That was Jorge's point,
the win-loss-draw performance of a player is of no use if you are
going to compare him to players in other timeframes. Jorge pointed
out the lack of ELO for older players to illustrate this. By saying
you can calculate the ELO for them, you imply that has any meaning
in the discussion. It had not.

--
GCP



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