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Subject: Re: Computer Chess is pointless

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 09:06:24 01/07/02

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On January 07, 2002 at 11:44:44, Bas Hamstra wrote:

>On January 07, 2002 at 10:29:12, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On January 07, 2002 at 07:35:14, Bas Hamstra wrote:
>>
>>>On January 07, 2002 at 07:08:08, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>
>>>>On January 06, 2002 at 21:17:43, Bas Hamstra wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>...because the fastest hardware simply wins. You can invent all kind of
>>>>>ingenious tricks, but it's nothing compared to faster hardware. On 2x faster
>>>>>hardware Tao just crushed GT 3x in a row and won the latest 10 15/0 games at
>>>>>FICS against strong opponents on slower hardware. Come on, the only fair way to
>>>>>compete is on equal hardware. I don't want to buy a computer twice a year just
>>>>>for CC tournaments, that's ridiculous. IMO the competition would be much more
>>>>>satisfying on equal hardware. Factor 2 hardware difference means hard to win for
>>>>>any program against a not too bad opponent. Anything above that makes the
>>>>>chances *way* too small to be fair. Yet that is quite normal in tournaments and
>>>>>you won't hear anyone about it. Program X played this AMAZING knight sac
>>>>>againtst program Y!! Hardware differences seem to be simply ignored. And that's
>>>>>crazy, in fact.
>>>>>
>>>>>Bas.
>>>>
>>>>Then why didn't Zugzwang win IPCC99. It is not a bad program at all.
>>>>In tests it completely annihilated the commercial programs they tested
>>>>against.
>>>>
>>>>Zugzwang was at like 512 alpha processors and getting millions of nodes
>>>>a second. I can't even remember how much, but zugzwang is already a slow
>>>>program on a PC...
>>>>
>>>>...it was using (making use of message passing and thereby losing many
>>>>factors of speed but it is worth it) global hashtable and was having more
>>>>Mhz and bigger hashtables than anyone else.
>>>>
>>>>This though the 17 ply searching Cilkchess at like 256 (or 500?)
>>>>sun processors wasn't searching undeep either. Yet it lost chanceless from
>>>>8 ply searching Lambchop.
>>>>
>>>>How do you explain that?
>>>
>>>Yes, I expected this.
>>>
>>>a) The probability that the "best" program wins a tournament is far smaller then
>>>you would expect. We once did some math and simulation, the shocking conclusion
>>>was that the probability that the best program wins the tournament was only 50%
>>>or something near that.
>>>
>>>b) CilkChess is a bad program. If you practically only do piece square then even
>>>17 ply won't help you.
>>>
>>>The server or the SSDF gives better data (more) to draw conclusions from. Both
>>>indicate that hardware is an enourmous factor.
>>>
>>>Best regards,
>>>Bas.
>>
>>The ssdf does not say that hardware is an enourmous factor
>
>Are you serious? When has there EVER been a program in the top-3 that was not on
>the fastest chip?
>
>>A1200 against K6-450 is more than2 times faster and
>>Crafty on A1200 is not better than the best programs
>
>What does this prove other than that it is hard to overcome a factor 2? It
>hardly occurs! Clearly a BIG factor...
>
>>on K6-450.
>>If your program is really better than GambitTiger
>>when the hardware difference is only 2:1 then
>>you may do it a commercial program.
>
>On 2 to 1 hardware advantage I fear not a single program. But that's easy to say
>because that holds for everyone with a not too crappy program. Better at 2:1? I
>don't know, it would certainly be an interesting experiment to test it.
>
>Bas.

By your definition most of the programs
are too crappy programs

see http://home.hccnet.nl/leo.dijksman/index.html

The programs in the second devision and lower devisions are
most of the programs and I expect all of them to lose a match
of 10 games against Tiger when the hardware difference is 2:1
against Tiger.

I expect even most of the programs in the first devision
that includes Crafty to lose a match against Tiger
in the same conditions.

Uri



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