Author: Chris Carson
Date: 07:18:38 04/16/02
So Far: Sun April 14 Smirin-Shredder 1-0 Mon April 15 Hiarcs-Smirin .5-.5 My guess: Thu April 18 Smirin-Junior .5-.5 Sun April 21 Tiger-Smirin .5-.5 Mon April 22 Shredder-Smirin .5-.5 Wed April 24 Smirin-Hiarcs 0-1 Thu April 25 Junior-Smirin 1-0 Sun April 28 Smirin-Tiger .5-.5 Final: GM Smirin 4.5 – Comps 3.5 (est. TPR = 2652, each win worth 50 pts) My guess is that GM Smirin can win this match. He is a strong player, will get rest on key days and has good incentive. I think both Tiger and Junior can beat GM Smirin, however, Junior has the advantage of white the day after GM Smirin plays Hiarcs. Tiger gets white after GM Smirin has a two day rest. Also, this next game is important for Junior to draw, GM Smirin has two days rest/preparation and should be ready for Junior. The comps need to use non-CB openings or they are likely to pay a price. Also note that the 4 comps scored 5-3 against GM Gulko (2597) for a TPR of 2697, combine this with the “guess” above and the 16 game TPR for the 4 comp team would be somewhere between 2625 and 2675. I would also “guess” that a TPR discussion will ensue on this board. This is just a guess, not based on anything other than a gut feeling. Please post your thoughts.
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