Author: Miguel A. Ballicora
Date: 14:00:05 04/29/02
Go up one level in this thread
On April 29, 2002 at 16:42:03, Uri Blass wrote: >On April 29, 2002 at 13:46:34, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >>On April 29, 2002 at 13:01:24, Otello Gnaramori wrote: >> >>>Please see: >>> >>>http://www.talkchess.com/forums/1/message.html?226863 >>> >>>w.b.r. >>>Otello >> >> >>What does that have to do with the point I made? Smirin was _winning_ in >>the first three games. He won one and drew the other two due to making >>mistakes, most likely caused by time pressure in the fairly short time >>control used... >> >>He should have lost against Junior. That would have been three wins, then >>a loss and then a draw and another win against tiger, out of six games... >> >>Smirin was lucky to get to play Junior again rather than losing. But then >>he was very unlucky to lose two won games and having to settle for draws due >>to time problems. >> >>He is still less "lucky" than the programs, in that regard... > >The question is what is the definition of being lucky. > >I do not think that missing a win means being unlucky. >If a player gets a winning position in all of his games and lose >or draw big part of them because of time trouble than he is not unlucky. > >In this case the player has a weakness that the opponents takes advantage of it. > >If smirin regular ability is often not enough to win won positions at 60 10 time >control then it is not luck. >The time control is not luck but something that the players agreed before the >game. > >The fact that smirin could probably do better at tournament time control is >irrelevant for deciding if smirin was lucky. > >If smirin scores better than the average result that he can expect based on his >ability then he is lucky. > >If he scores worse than the average result that he can expect then he is >unlucky. > >Uri Same thing apply to the computers then. It is not possible to say that CT was unlucky as somebody suggested. Miguel
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