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Subject: Re: The failure of validation with DEEP BLUE 2 (ethical questions)

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 21:02:45 07/21/02

Go up one level in this thread


On July 21, 2002 at 16:50:19, Rolf Tueschen wrote:

>On July 21, 2002 at 14:30:23, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On July 21, 2002 at 09:29:29, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>
>>>New exposition:
>>>#################
>>>
>>>On July 20, 2002 at 22:16:48, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>About control and safety and American logic:
>>>#############################################
>>>
>>>>We can argue for all time about "how many angels can dance on the head of a
>>>>pin?"  But since there is absolutely no way to measure the size of an angel,
>>>>no answer can be proven correct.  Discussion is pointless.
>>>>
>>>>In chess, we have the same problem.  It is simply impossible to prevent
>>>>outside intervention in a game, and it is also impossible to detect that
>>>>it happened in every case.  If you can't prevent it in 100% of the cases,
>>>>and you can't detect when it has happened with 100% reliability,  The
>>>>"interest" in the issue wanes a bit...
>>>>
>>>>Should we argue about how long it will take man to reach Alpha Centauri?  I
>>>>claim zero time.  And I leave it to you to prove me wrong by showing with
>>>>absolute perfection that exceeding C (speed of light) is impossible under
>>>>_all_ conditions...
>>>>
>>>>Many discussions are pointless.  Trying to "interfere-proof" the DB matches
>>>>falls into that class...
>>>
>>>This is all interesting and true but it's also totally wrong for our problem in
>>>computerchess. Who did want to prove something?
>>
>>The answer has been the same for 30+ years.  "Can a computer beat the human
>>world champion in a match of six games at standard tournament time controls?"
>>That has been the _only_ question.
>
>Are you talking about chess? You should mention it. :)
>
>
>>It was answered in 1997.
>
>Funny. Ok, first lesson from me to you! You can only answer something if you
>have defined the conditions of what is an answer for example in the first place.
>If it's about chess, you've several rules to follow. Also in CC.
>


The game of chess is well-defined.  The tournament time control has always
meant either 40/2hrs or 40/2.5 hours.  Either one.  Not much difference.
The conditions were _well-defined_.  Computer chess program vs human in a
match at tournament time controls.  I don't see how it could be defined
any better...


>
>
>>If you want to
>>re-pose the question in a different way, feel free.  Perhaps you can also get
>>someone to answer it.  But don't make the question _you_ want to ask into
>>the question _they_ wanted to ask.  They _had_ their question, and _they_
>>produced an answer...
>
>All I want is that you might understand that if you disturb me during a show you
>have neither won nor lost in chess. Perhaps I could use the results for a  study
>in psychology. But excuse me, this was not about 'chess'. Can you hear the
>little FIDE bell ring?

Kasparov disturbed himself.  The DB guys showed up to play chess and they
did.  Kasparov imagined the "conspiracy" and let his imagination run wild.
That was _hardly_ the DB team's fault...

>
>>
>>
>>> Here we have the first
>>>historical lie. From the 40's on computer scientists tried to prove what they
>>>could achieve. Now this is ridiculous. We have computerchess experts who try to
>>>prove that their creations could play chess. But JUNIOR became CCCWch in Paris
>>>without knowing something about the underpromotion! Unbelievable!
>>
>>Why?  I saw a program win a game without knowing _how_ to promote in any
>>case, not just under-promotions.  It was at one of the very early ACM computer
>>chess events, it pushed two pawns to the 8th, left them as pawns, and _still_
>>was able to win the game...
>
>Once I saw a blind chicken find a little grain now and then, but I never saw a
>blind chicken become Superintendant of Scotland Yard. Three minutes for you to
>find the answer why. I can see larger fields now, where we must organise some
>serious private tutoring for you.
>


I'll take the tutoring _after_ you take some professional help...

You first, however.  You need it more.




>
>>
>>>Then DB2 was
>>>presented without any attempts to prove the authenticity of the output and more,
>>>the machine was already sold, so that any attempts to do some research were
>>>impossible by definition. Can you Americans spell 'David Copperfield' and
>>>'delusion'?
>>
>>Can you spell obsession?  Obfuscation?  falsification?
>>
>>> Is it true that you believe in American logic with a complete
>>>reversal of traditional logic? Not you must prove something you pretended to do
>>>but the world must prove that you did something wrong?
>>
>
>Now please fasten your belts! We have climax here soon!
>########################################################
>
>>
>>Actually, _yes_.  That is why I choose to live in the USA, where I am
>>"innocent until proven guilty."  That is the basis of our legal system
>>and I happen to like it.
>
>Difference between justice and science?

None...

In this case...



>
>Without carefully making the experimental design there is no science, although
>you're still not guilty but very innocent.
>
>Difference between science and a little show act?

"what science"?  This was simply an experiment to answer a specific
question.  No more.  No less.


>
>Without careful experimental design for your machine you can't even say what
>happened in show events.
>
>Since when the leading power in science, the USA, is proud about the lack of
>science in computerchess?


I am no less concerned about that than I am by the fact that I can either
compute the position of an electron, or its speed, but _not_ both...

Some things are simply given to me as constraints.  I live with them when they
can't be circumvented.




>
>
>>>And that in a situation
>>>where you guaranteed that no research could be started? God bless America! And
>>>forget about the rest of the world? This is kind of strange logic. It is a logic
>>>of hypocrisy and fiction.
>>
>>And _your_ logic would be a logic of what, exactly?
>
>This will be part of our first lesson of the private tutoring I poposed to you.
>
>
>> The logic of changing
>>the goal at a whim?  The logic of trying to do something that is totally
>>impossible.  The logic of _attempting_ to do something that was totally
>>impossible, so that even the attempt would have made the match so expensive
>>it would never have happened?
>
>Price and "number of units" and their interdependancies, oh, and
>interdisciplinary science. From lesson 5 to 10!!
>
>Look, it's funny to see you defend bad practice and then showing 'deep sorrow'
>about the difficulties and their price. If you had begun to find solutions in
>the 60s we hadn't todays problems.
>
>
>>Did you complain after the 1996 match?  Why or why not?
>
>No time. I wasn't in the internet yet.

Crapola.  Care to check Deja?


>
>
>> (I know the answer
>>of course, you did _not_.)
>
>I did if I had been asked!
>
>
>>If you didn't complain after 1996, then why
>>complain after 1997 when _everything_ was the same, match-condition-wise?
>>I also know the answer to that...
>
>Now you became a weak-willed tool of your fantasy. Only seconds and you'll
>become a clairvoyant. "When will Bob Hyatt become a true member of the
>reformated CC?" As fast as possible!
>
>>
>>>
>>>But isn't it more a logic of political power? Because there is no American
>>>science, there is no American logic! You are simply proclaiming false logic and
>>>because you have the power and the money you think you have the right to define
>>>what is the truth and what is logic?
>>
>>There is no "false logic".  The original question, as posed in 1960 or so
>>was "can a computer beat the world champion at standard time controls in a
>>match?"  IBM answered that clearly in 1997.
>
>Clearly? Is it clairvoyant mode now?

It was a yes/no question.  The answer was "yes".



>
>
>> "yes".  Nothing else is
>>particularly important.  Yes it would be nice if DB2 were still around so
>>we could study it to understand it better.  But it _did_ answer the question
>>asked, in a scientifically rigorous fashion, that _almost_ everyone has
>>accepted...
>
>"Scientifically", no please, this is too much, now you are exaggerating a little
>bit. Let our heirs speak their own judgement. "Bob" or "Rolf". Let's not spoil
>all the fun today with the topic of who is (or has) the greatest. At least I
>have one letter more in my name. :)
>
>


Your counting is bad.  My first name is "robert". :)

>
>>
>>
>>
>>At least I don't believe pigs can fly.
>
>But they can! See the dinos long ago.
>
>> And I don't believe that _I_ get
>>to set the rules for what IBM does.  They are a _company_ charged with making
>>money.  Nothing more, nothing less.  DB and DB2 were both projects they
>>undertook for financial gain.  Nothing more, nothing less.  To Hsu and
>>the rest, it was a bit more, because they, like me, enjoy computer chess
>>immensely.  They got to do something they enjoyed.  IBM used it to make
>>money.  The entire project answered a long-running question.  Seems to me
>>like _everyone_ achieved their desired goals at the same time.  A good
>>outcome for _everyone_.
>
>Minus the chessplayers and some billion scientists all over the world and space.
>
>
>> Even after all his whining, Kasparov made a small
>>fortune from IBM and the match.  So even _he_ did pretty well, IMHO, even
>>with all the mistakes he made.  I sure wouldn't mind getting mauled by a
>>computer and getting paid $400,000 dollars for doing so...
>
>Youdidn't know that chessplayers are idealists? They're independant of money...
>
>

Not _any_ chessplayer _I_ personally know.  Money is at the top of the list.




>>>
>>>
>>>About deconstruction of DB2:
>>>#############################
>>>
>>>>They are obligated to keep a multi-million dollar computer around for
>>>>your personal edification?  The machine was sold.  It was sold _before_
>>>>the match, but delivery was delayed so that they could use it.  Cray did
>>>>this for _me_ many times....  Nearly every year Cray Blitz played in an
>>>>event, had you asked to see the machine to test a position a few weeks
>>>>later, you would have been out of luck as the machine would have been shipped
>>>>and installed at a customer site...
>>>
>>>You have the nerve to present such a paragraph as a proof for the seriousness of
>>>the DB2 team and IBM? You identify habits with rightful practice? Do you believe
>>>in the supernatural too? From what date on you'll define it as reality?
>>>
>>>
>>
>>I won't even venture a guess as to what that rambling response means.  I
>>am talking about reality.  You seem to be talking about some drug-induced
>>euphoric state where reality disappears and fantasy abounds.
>
>No please. Keep cool. I was just mentioning that you identified possibly bad
>habits with rightful practice. Can't you se the importance of my
>differentiation? A tradition must not necessarily be good practice. This is
>another lesson of logic and science of science.
>
>
>
>>>
>>>About the control of the output of a machine:
>>>##############################################
>>>
>>>>Because "safe output" is an oxymoron.  A contradiction.  A physical
>>>>impossibility.  Any of the above.  All of the above.  Etc...  If it
>>>>doesn't exist, and can't possibly exist, then what is the point in discussing
>>>>it ad nauseum???
>>>>
>>>>We can state that such security measures are, by definition, impossible.
>>>>Again, which makes the discussion pointless.
>>>>
>>>>Hence my argument all along...  the machine is far too easy to modify to
>>>>make any attempt to "security" 100% reliable.
>>>
>>>Did you in the USA invent the Fredkin prize? Or was it already part of the
>>>biblical tradition? Sorry, but otherwise I can't teach you about real logic and
>>>lame excuses.
>>
>>
>>Rolf, I doubt if you could teach me _anything_.  There is a prerequisite
>>condition that must exist between a teacher and a student.  I think you can
>>figure out what that is and why it is missing in the context of you: teacher,
>>me: student.
>
>Can you spell 'humility' vs 'hybris'? Or 'interdisciplinary'? Why not seeing
>further than one's nose? :)

OK... a more direct hint then.  The _teacher_ must know more than the "student"
for a teaching relationship to work.  That is why this one won't..




>
>>
>>Yes, the fredkin prize was a US product.  So what?  Computer Chess was a
>>US product as well.  Again, so what?
>
>Konrad Zuse was the inventor of computers. German.

Not in my history book.  But I said "computer chess".  I can refer you to
the _original_ paper if you wish.  American author.

Shannon was the name, chess was the game, the computer was the means.

>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>> You create some magic and the rest of the world must accept it as
>>>reality and real truth? You never heard of the saying that you should prove what
>>>you declared?
>>
>>I believe _they_ did this.  They "proved" their machine was able to do
>>what they thought by playing a 6 game match and winning more than they lost...
>>
>>
>>
>>> Is it true that you are thinking that you are proven right as long
>>>as nobody could prove that magic is only magic but not reality?
>>
>>What is all the magic/fantasy stuff?  There were no smoke and mirrors in
>>NYC in 1997.
>
>Can you prove it?

Yes I can.  I was there for one game.  Not one bit of smoke, and no
mirrors on the stage with Kasparov...


>
>>Just a computer, a program, some special-purpose hardware and
>>a man by the name of Kasparov.  _all_ were real.  _all_ were present.  The
>>rest is captured by history.
>
>Could you give us a few details about the special-purpose hardware to begin
>with? Some games beyond the 6 games with Kasparov? I mean games of DB2? Or did
>the machine only play 6 games in a whole year? Where are the game scores of the
>10:0 results against commercial machines? You see, I ask only because you said
>that _all_ was real and present.


If a tree falls and no one is present, is there sound?  Physics says
absolutely yes.  Philosophers say "no".

I go with physics...


>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>> Such thoughts
>>>remind me of a famous court case in the US. Justice said that he was guilty and
>>>he was executed. How come?? Isn't it the _whole_ USA believing in magic and
>>>delusions yet? Is it perhaps concentrated on CC? Or did e.g. Heisenberg you a
>>>bad job when he found his 'relation of fuzziness'? Can you spell 'Hand of God'
>>>or 'Maradona'?
>>>
>>>
>>>About Kramnik and the value of brutal violence:
>>>################################################
>>>
>>>>No... what you see is a Kramnik with better advisors.  And a Kramnik that
>>>>_knows_ that ChessBase needs _him_ and not vice-versa.  Therefore he dictated
>>>>the match conditions as favorable to him as he could imagine.  Kasparov _could_
>>>>have done that or more.  _could_ have...
>>>
>>>How many times more must I explain that chessplayers must not dictate such thing
>>>to prove that they are stronger than a machine? I know e.g. that I must not
>>>persuade _you_. But why do you drift into such Lucky Luke logic after all? I
>>>always thought that DB2 team was lucky to play Kasparov. What the hell came into
>>>them that they suddenly thought it convincing to to beat Kasparov - if not in
>>>chess, then in a psycho war? For what purpose if even you, Bob, do _not_ believe
>>>that comps are already strongrer than GM? Again magic looking through the
>>>bathroom window'? Or is it possible to substantiate reality by pure power or
>>>brutal violence? Does civilization prove the allegation? I don't think so!
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>>Your basic premise is flawed:
>>
>>1.  Do I believe that comps are better than GMs in general?  No.
>>
>>2.  Do I believe that comps _can_ beat GMs OTB.  I can _prove_ it in fact.
>>
>>Are the two beliefs contradictory?  Not at all.  And to believe that they
>>are contradictory shows that you simply do _not_ understand science in
>>general.  And statistics in particular.
>
>Didn't you know that a scientist shouldn't argue with the weakness but the
>strength of the positions of the opponent? --> Lesson 34 till 40 of our private
>tutoring.
>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>About the American way of life:
>>>################################
>>>
>>>>I don't spend a lot of time worrying about things that I can't do anything
>>>>about.  For example, I don't have any meteor protection over my house.  I
>>>>don't think I could build anything big enough to protect me from any reasonable
>>>>size of meteor.  There is no way to make a machine totally immune to outside
>>>>intervention, if the people that build the machine are intent on doing such.
>>>>So I don't give it any thought.  There is no way to detect such intervention
>>>>with any reasonable reliability.  So I don't give that any thought either.
>>>
>>>Is that the reason why people live in houses out of thin wood and wonder when
>>>the wind or other reality bursts could not be sufficiently answered? Are you
>>>really one of such people or was it just a misleaden metaphor?
>>
>>I am "really one of them".  Nothing can stand against an F-5 Tornado.  So
>>worrying about it is impractical, unless I want a home totally underground
>>which I would not have.  So "I pay my money and take my chances" just like
>>those that live along rivers and streams that occasionally flood, those that
>>live along the coast and occasionally have to deal with hurricanes.  Those
>>that live up north and occasionally have to deal with 6 feet of snow.  There
>>are risks and rewards.  I make decisions based on those two factors, where
>>the reward is measurably better than the risk.
>
>Why not constructing elevators for your houses, so that houses could be saved in
>the soil? Copyright @ Rolf Tueschen 2002...
>
>Didn't you know that we live only one single life? So - learning by doing or on
>the job could be fatal. Lesson 50.
>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>About propaganda:
>>>###################
>>>
>>>>I think most understand that.  Unless they don't _want_ to understand it,
>>>>due to an agenda...
>>>
>>>If I take the logic of all your paragraphs I must agree with you. If most
>>>understand it isn't so sure. I would already be happy if _you_ could correct
>>>your delusions. It's a terrible mess to see you crawl and still with that
>>>certain smile on your face. Couldn't that be from Melville? But then - who's
>>>Moby?   ;)
>>>
>>>Rolf Tueschen
>>
>>No connection with whales at all.  Kasparov wasn't a life-long obsession with
>>the DB guys, no more than he was an obsession with me.  It was "the best chess
>>player in the world" that was an obsession for all of us in computer chess,
>>regardless of whether that was Fischer (which it was in the early 70's),
>>Karpov after that, and eventually it became Kasparov.  And eventually it will
>>become yet someone else...
>>
>>It's the "concept" of machine beating man that was (and is) interesting.
>
>Again, excuse me, I would prefer the whole thing to be traight and fair. Without
>secrecy and - where are the gane scores? Just asking.
>
>Let's not be divided the two of us!
>
>GENS UNA SUMUS.
>
>Rolf Tueschen


OK... this is going nowhere further.  I'm not going to dance around this tree
forever.  You may continue, and I may respond if I see something _new_.  But
no more repetitions...



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