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Subject: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma

Author: Rolf Tueschen

Date: 09:38:06 09/25/02

Please take a look at my revolutionary solution of this confusing problem:

http://hometown.aol.de/rolftueschen/monty.html


At first I went into the net and collected all sort of data for my page. I
wanted to show how important methods and methodology are for science and also
statistics. In special the exact defining of the terms.

Then suddenly I had the inspiration and in a few minutes whitewashed a million
people who as pupils, students or even professors let them be proved wrong by
Marilyn vos Savant who has an IQ of 228. For decades now the Monty Hall Problem
is taken as example for conditioned probability, which is wrong!

Hope you enjoy my revelations. Please tell me if you want to comment.

Rolf Tueschen

Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 04:08:35 09/26/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Brian Thomas 09:38:32 09/27/02
Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma T. Opas 03:21:35 09/26/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 03:42:26 09/26/02
Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Matthew Hull 21:32:54 09/25/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 02:20:29 09/26/02
  - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Matthew Hull 06:07:39 09/26/02
  - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 03:01:22 09/26/02
    - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 04:47:53 09/26/02
      - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 05:23:54 09/26/02
    - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 03:26:36 09/26/02
      - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 04:22:03 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 04:36:04 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Uri Blass 04:54:37 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Rolf Tueschen 12:30:42 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Sune Fischer 13:14:46 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Uri Blass 13:42:37 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Sune Fischer 14:06:21 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Uri Blass 15:00:12 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Sune Fischer 15:14:03 09/26/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 02:50:42 09/27/02
        
        Re: Monty Hall Dilemma *Final Statement* from CTF Rolf Tueschen 07:17:54 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 03:37:19 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 03:57:57 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Uri Blass 04:41:07 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 05:29:47 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Uri Blass 05:50:07 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 05:55:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 04:15:52 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 04:24:42 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 04:58:01 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 05:37:46 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 06:12:37 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 03:13:52 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* David Dory 12:54:53 09/28/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Proof&End* Rolf Tueschen 03:42:35 09/29/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Proof&End* Sune Fischer 11:05:47 09/30/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Uri Blass 03:57:10 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 03:47:56 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 04:02:20 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Rolf Tueschen 04:46:16 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion* Sune Fischer 05:13:57 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot) Rolf Tueschen 13:50:02 09/26/02
Proposition Hans van der Zijden 15:54:27 09/25/02
- Re: Proposition Rolf Tueschen 16:37:42 09/25/02
... a money-making opportunity ! GuyHaworth 12:45:44 09/25/02
- Re: ... a money-making opportunity ! Rolf Tueschen 13:34:07 09/25/02
  - Re: ... a money-making opportunity ! Graham Laight 02:03:15 09/26/02
    - Re: ... a money-making opportunity ! Rolf Tueschen 02:23:55 09/26/02
Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma John Merlino 12:06:58 09/25/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 11:47:32 09/26/02
  - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 05:14:28 09/27/02
    - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 05:22:06 09/27/02
      - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 05:50:27 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 06:45:47 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 07:26:50 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma T. Opas 07:15:32 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 07:20:44 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 07:31:45 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 07:04:42 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 07:18:19 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 07:32:18 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 08:02:59 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 08:09:41 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 08:35:22 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 08:44:29 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 09:10:53 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 09:39:22 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 09:53:10 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 11:33:47 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 12:12:40 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 12:44:45 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Important Hint Rolf Tueschen 10:18:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 08:15:27 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 08:36:44 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 09:18:17 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 09:27:38 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 11:04:01 09/27/02
        
        Bob Barker is feeling very neglected! <NT> Roy Eassa 12:52:27 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 11:40:09 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 12:04:26 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 12:40:07 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 13:04:45 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 13:17:02 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 14:07:57 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 14:30:11 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 14:56:26 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 11:12:34 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 11:31:50 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *The Proof* Rolf Tueschen 12:09:58 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *The Proof* Uri Blass 12:21:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *The Proof* Rolf Tueschen 12:38:29 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *The Proof* Uri Blass 12:52:34 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 11:33:22 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 11:58:25 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 12:11:12 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 12:18:52 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 12:27:35 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 12:47:15 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 13:14:08 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 13:25:54 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 14:03:35 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 14:16:33 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 14:26:13 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 14:46:38 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 13:02:33 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 13:09:31 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Confession Rolf Tueschen 13:48:25 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 13:24:27 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 13:51:50 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 13:58:54 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 14:21:43 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 14:13:18 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 14:36:23 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Moral* Rolf Tueschen 14:42:45 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Moral* Gerrit Reubold 14:50:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 13:57:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 14:07:15 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 13:07:57 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 09:31:25 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 10:47:29 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 09:26:55 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 11:39:34 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 12:24:47 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 08:31:39 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 07:43:02 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 08:03:56 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 08:15:27 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 08:44:25 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 08:46:47 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 08:10:52 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 08:18:44 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 08:27:15 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Antonio Dieguez 14:55:21 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 04:59:32 09/28/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Uri Blass 08:24:13 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Peter Berger 08:33:00 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Gerrit Reubold 07:58:40 09/27/02
      - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 05:43:06 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 05:54:03 09/27/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 05:59:43 09/27/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Graham Laight 02:07:26 09/26/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 13:21:26 09/25/02
Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Joachim Rang 11:35:29 09/25/02
- Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 12:46:14 09/25/02
  - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Joachim Rang 13:31:55 09/25/02
    - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Roy Eassa 14:33:00 09/25/02
      - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 10:57:27 09/26/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 12:40:13 09/26/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 13:00:48 09/26/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 13:55:44 09/26/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Sune Fischer 14:08:40 09/26/02
      - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 14:45:03 09/25/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Roy Eassa 14:50:46 09/25/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 15:51:28 09/25/02
    - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 14:04:52 09/25/02
Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Jesper Antonsson 10:08:16 09/25/02
- Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 10:59:41 09/25/02
  - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma David Hanley 11:41:59 09/25/02
    - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 12:05:03 09/25/02
      - Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma David Hanley 15:02:38 09/25/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 15:46:52 09/25/02
        
        Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma David Hanley 10:09:36 09/26/02
      - Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Joachim Rang 12:27:18 09/25/02
        
        Re: OT: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma Rolf Tueschen 15:42:21 09/25/02

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