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Subject: Re: Why comps are no GM (Anti + Statistics)

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 09:07:25 02/04/03

Go up one level in this thread


On February 04, 2003 at 11:52:36, Rolf Tueschen wrote:

>On February 04, 2003 at 10:58:20, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>On February 04, 2003 at 09:12:12, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>
>>>On February 04, 2003 at 08:21:26, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>On February 04, 2003 at 06:40:16, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On February 04, 2003 at 05:51:17, Andreas Guettinger wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On February 03, 2003 at 19:05:27, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On February 03, 2003 at 18:54:54, Peter Hegger wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>...how is it that they now consistently play at the 2700-2800 level? Against
>>>>>>>>Kramnik (2810), against Bareev (2729), and now against Kasparov (2807), a
>>>>>>>>program is turning in a 2807 performance and very much _holding its own_
>>>>>>>>Calling any modern program a 2500 player is akin to calling the above mentioned
>>>>>>>>super GM's 2500 players.
>>>>>>>>It also looks to me as though the SSDF list is getting closer to the reality of
>>>>>>>>the true state of program prowess than (admittedly) it use to be.
>>>>>>>>Any comments welcome.
>>>>>>>>Regards,
>>>>>>>>Peter
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>A pity that you do not read.   Show events are NOT a possible tool to calculate
>>>>>>>the strength.   And hard competition doesn't exist.   That's it.   I still hold
>>>>>>>that comps are 2400 at best in fierce tournament chess.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Rolf Tueschen
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>First of all, I agree that humans play a lot better chess than computers. I.e.
>>>>>>DJ did not mananage to get a reasonable attack against Kasparov in the current
>>>>>>match. Humans seem to be much mure creative chess players.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>On the other hand, I doubt that the average rating performance of computers are
>>>>>>much less than that of humans. Or say, they have the same Elo than top players.
>>>>>>I.E. the human plays a top game with 47 good moves on a high level and 3
>>>>>>blundering moves in it and will lose against the computer.
>>>>>
>>>>>I think you make a couple of typical mistakes in your chain of reasoning. You
>>>>>completely leave out the idea of strict anti-comp play and I am talking about
>>>>>strict = played and tested over a longer period of time. By many, not just one
>>>>>or two players. Also you misunderstand Elo. Why should Elo of the players go
>>>>>down when they control comps? My 2400 for comps (2003!) is a "vision" if you
>>>>>want IF certain conditions would exist. And now let's take a look at chess.
>>>>>
>>>>>You say that a human makes 3 weak moves per game. I say you are talking about
>>>>>human chess with all its delusions and projects. Here however we are talking
>>>>>about anti-comp. Now think for a moment. You say that comps play not bad but
>>>>>without great highlights. I think we all know that from the imbreeding campaigns
>>>>>in SSDF etc. What does that mean? Very simple. The human anti-comp can just
>>>>>concentrate on the typical anti strategies. There is no hurry. There is no
>>>>>tension. There is no creativity on the side of the machines. What - honestly -
>>>>>will you have more???
>>>>>
>>>>>I think that most people underestimate the human brain. And surely that of GM.
>>>>>Look. A GM has a computer in his brain! How many times must I repeat that? You
>>>>>become GM because you have that inborn talent of outstanding memory capacities
>>>>>-first. And that is a must! Sine qua non - for all scientists. And then of
>>>>>course the necessary talent for chess, which should be discovered with the age
>>>>>of 5 or 6 years. Now the irritating news from psychology is: that memory has not
>>>>>too much to do with say artistic genius in general. It could well be that you
>>>>>land in a boring bureaucratic job but you know all the numbers of the telephone
>>>>>book of say NY. That is also why chess GM are not by force deep thinkers. Not to
>>>>>speak of philosophers. Lasker is the exception.
>>>>>
>>>>>That aspect is important because I must explain here why up to now not too many
>>>>>GM really started to perform against comps. And those few who perform, do that
>>>>>in show events with the usual hoax we know from simuls and other exhibitions.
>>>>>That is mostly about money nothing else. My theory is that IF a few clever GM
>>>>>would begin to compete against comps we would realise very fast how weak the
>>>>>machines are in reality. IF humans develop a special 'counter technique'. But
>>>>>make no mistake: you must be able to calculate lines up to say five moves. So
>>>>>all amateur players and patzers below 1700 bye bye.   :)
>>>>>
>>>>>Know what I mean? Actually we have a complete fog of hot air in CC because NEVER
>>>>>at least in public that has been shown by GM how serious the weaknesses of comps
>>>>>really are. In public and for money it's part of the deal that GM simply don't
>>>>>touch it what is weak. Or don't _talk_ about it.
>>>>>
>>>>>So, perhaps now you know when the number 2400 could exist and in which
>>>>>conditions.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>If it is a 2800
>>>>>>player, then the computer may have played the weaker moves, but won in the end
>>>>>>and deserves reating of that level too.
>>>>>
>>>>>Fine. But the comps would also lose against 1900 or 2100 player! And that would
>>>>>NEVER happen to GM! Period. :)
>>>>
>>>>losing against 1900 or 2100 player can happen to a GM and I know of cases when
>>>>it happened.
>>>>
>>>>In one of them the GM fell to a prepared trap that the 2100 discovered in
>>>>analysis before the game.
>>>>
>>>>In another case the GM simply did not play well and did mistakes so he lost
>>>>against 1900 player.
>>>>
>>>>Uri
>>>
>>>Please give exact headers or scores. And we were talking about 2600-2700 GM not
>>>2445 GM from institutions for seniors. Please also exclude first rounds in Opens
>>>because that is show event and commercial. :)
>>
>>[Event "It (open)"]
>>[Site "Budapest HUN"]
>>[Date "1960.??.??"]
>>[Round "?"]
>>[White "Portisch, Lajos"]
>>[Black "Barcza, Gedeon"]
>>[Result "0-1"]
>>[ECO "D66"]
>>[Variation "QGD: Orthodox, Main Line, 8...h6 9.Bh4"]
>>
>>1. d4 d5 2. c4 e6 3. Nc3 Nf6 4. Bg5 Be7 5. e3 h6 6. Bh4 O-O 7. Nf3 Nbd7
>>8. Rc1 c6 9. Bd3 dxc4 10. Bxc4 b5 11. Bd3 a6 12. a4 b4 13. Bxf6 gxf6 14.
>>Ne4 f5 15. Ng3 c5 16. d5 Bf6 17. dxe6 fxe6 18. Qb3 Kh8 19. Bc4 Nb6 20.
>>Bxe6 Qe8 21. Bxc8 Rxc8 22. Nxf5 Qxa4 23. Qe6 Qd7 24. Qxb6 Qxf5 25. Ke2
>>Bxb2 26. Qxh6+ Qh7 27. Qxh7+ Kxh7 28. Rc2 Bf6 29. Nd2 a5 30. Ne4 c4 31.
>>Nxf6+ Rxf6 32. Ra2 Rc5 33. f4 b3 34. Ra3 Rb6 35. Kd2 c3+ 36. Kc1 Rd5 37.
>>e4 Rd2 38. Kb1 Rd1+ 0-1
>
>Please don't give us the DeVito! That is funny but doesn't help, Dann!
>
>You don't know much about chess!

No argument there.  I knew who Portisch was, but I never heard of Barcza.  For
whatever reason, my database said the ELO difference was 700.  Clearly an error.

>Barcza, guess who this was? A 2100 player? Perhaps in your rotten database. That
>was a well educated Ungarian GM who also wrote books. Who created openings. Who
>was perhaps in the class of a O'kelly, if you ever heard that name.
>
>Portisch? We are talking about Lajos, the many times candidate for the world
>championships, who beat Larsen on the fly? Who beat even Fischer once? If my
>memory doesn't deceive me?
>
>
>It makes me sick that chess is such a difficult sport that so few have a real
>access.
>
>:)

Another of life's many tragedies.  On the positive side, I have now bookmarked
this site:
http://www.chessmetrics.com/index.html#NameList

and so enormous gaffes of that nature should be somewhat less frequent from me.
Not that I will know the answers, but I will at least check before I post on a
question of this nature.



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