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Subject: Re: What's the Secret to Shredder 7.04 Success?

Author: Ricardo Gibert

Date: 23:03:25 05/03/03

Go up one level in this thread


On May 04, 2003 at 01:07:52, Uri Blass wrote:

>On May 03, 2003 at 23:47:13, Jim Bond wrote:
>
>>On May 03, 2003 at 23:22:05, Tom Kerrigan wrote:
>>
>>>On May 03, 2003 at 21:28:30, Jim Bond wrote:
>>>
>>>>On May 03, 2003 at 17:52:40, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On May 03, 2003 at 17:50:36, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>><snipped>
>>>>>>I know about programs that tablebases were counter productive for mchess because
>>>>>>it probed them too much and was slowed down by asignificant factor.
>>>>>
>>>>>I meant here that mchess is an example for a program that tablebases was counter
>>>>>productive for it.
>>>>>
>>>>>Uri
>>>>
>>>>If you believe that more TB probing is counter productive, you are contradicting
>>>>with Shredder - the top program.  Take this position for example:
>>>>
>>>>2k5/8/7p/8/5qP1/1Q5K/8/8 w - - 0 72
>>>>
>>>>If you run infinite analysis on it with Shredder 7.04, Fritz 0.008 and
>>>>ChessTiger 15, you will find that the Shredder accumlates TB counts about 8
>>>>times more than Fritz and about 16 times more than ChessTiger.  If TB probing is
>>>>counter productive, how come Shredder does it so much more and can still be at
>>>>the top?
>>>>
>>>>Jim
>>>
>>>Just because Shredder is at the top doesn't mean it plays this particular
>>>position better than other programs, i.e., the fact that it does so many more
>>>probes does not mean that more probes are good.
>>>
>>>-Tom
>>
>>You are saying more probes does not mean that more probes are good, but you
>>cannot prove that more probe is bad either.  The fact is Shredder does probes
>>and it is the top program where others does less probes and are less strong.
>>There is a correlation here wouldn't you agreed?
>>
>>Jim
>
>If I see A and I see B then it does not mean that A is the reason of B.
>


Bingo. "Correlation" does not necessarily imply "cause and effect."

If program X comes in a blue box and program Y comes in a red box and X is a
better program, then the conclusion that X is better than Y, because it comes in
a blue box is the mark of pure idiocy.


>
>Shredder can be better than the opponents because of different reasons.
>I believe that shredder7.04 is better than the opponents also when the programs
>do not get tablebases.
>
>Uri



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