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Subject: State of AMD/Opteron

Author: Tom Kerrigan

Date: 18:13:58 07/08/03

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On July 08, 2003 at 16:16:00, Rajen Gupta wrote:

>On July 08, 2003 at 15:37:39, Russell Reagan wrote:
>
>>On July 08, 2003 at 15:18:55, Rajen Gupta wrote:
>>
>>>http://www.amdzone.com/articleview.cfm?articleid=1304
>>>
>>>looks like a tie with the pentium 3.2: hardly a pentium killer! my heart bleeds
>>>for the poor opteron when intel releases a prescott!
>>
>>Please post the link to the page where the have the results of the chess program
>>benchmarking that they did.
>
>they didn't: and i am talking of the chip's overall performance as most
>end-users dont buy a chip for its chess performance only: (even on this forum of
>die-hard computer chess fanatics its quite probable that there are more intel
>based systems being used) if this so-called pentium killer does not measure up
>(and i have a horrible feeling it won't), it will be the end of AMD as we know
>it; for the last 2 yrs they have been telling us:
>
>"never mind the athlon; it is only  stop gap; wait for the hammer; it is going
>to smash intel;" and finally after endless delays it does show up it appears to
>be almost geting a smashing itself!
>
>if AMD disappears, we will then be subject to intel's monopoly which will be a
>horrible thing for us all: hence my disappointment with AMD: always too little
>and too late!

One thing you have to realize is that Opteron is at the beginning of its life on
a new process. There may still be low-hanging fruit in terms of optimizing the
design or the process, and AMD might be holding back on clocking the chip higher
(because they don't have a reason to). I believe AMD has said the Opteron/Athlon
64 will reach 2.6GHz with the current 0.13um process, so if the 2GHz chip is
beating a 3.2GHz P4, the 2.6GHz chip would beat a 4.2GHz P4. Of course, to get
above 3.2GHz, Intel has to switch to their 90nm process, so AMD is quite clearly
beating Intel on the same process. Of course, Intel is moving to a new process
faster than AMD, so that has to be taken into account, and Prescott will be
significantly more "efficient" than Northwood, but IMO it seems like AMD has
enough headroom to at least stay even with Intel until they can switch to a
newer process.

Oh, of course this entire post assumes 32 bit code. 64 bit code will give the
Opteron a boost (although new HT will give the Pentium a boost).

-Tom



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