Author: Uri Blass
Date: 06:53:25 06/17/04
Go up one level in this thread
On June 17, 2004 at 09:38:48, Peter Berger wrote: >On June 17, 2004 at 06:18:11, Uri Blass wrote: > >>On June 17, 2004 at 05:00:42, Peter Skinner wrote: >> >>>On June 17, 2004 at 01:19:57, Jouni Uski wrote: >>> >>>>I wouldn't be surprised, if: >>>> >>>>1) Junior 9/11 >>>>2) Fritz 8,5 >>>>3) Shredder 8 >>>> >>>>Jouni >>> >>>If Crafty shows up with the 8-way opteron: >>> >>>1. Crafty 8.5/11 >>>2. Junior 8/11 >>>3. Shredder 7.5/11 >>>4. Fritz 7.5/11 >>> >>>I don't think _anything_ showing up there will be able to compete with the speed >>>factor Robert will bring. He also has already shown on a 4 way he is more than >>>capable of holding his own in the CCT's.. let alone on the 8-way. >> >>I think you overestimate Crafty. >> >>Shredder is still favourite even with 2:1 hardware advantage for Crafty. >> >>Big hardware advantage can help but even with 8 processors that crafty is not >>going to have Crafty is not going to have more than 2:1 hardware advantage. >> >>In the CCT shredder did not play and shredder is clearly better than Junior. >> >>I believe that in the CCT Crafty had more than 2:1 hardware advantage relative >>to Junior and the important tournament for the commercial programs is WCC and >>not CCT. >> >>After reading peter berger's post I expect Crafty only to get 5.5/11 or 6/11. >>(better than most of the amatuers but weaker than Shreeder,Junior,Fritz). >> >>Uri > >Guessing time :) ? > >I think you underestimate Crafty and also its hardware advantage here. You are right that I underestimated crafty's hardware. 4*850 was misleading and I did not understand that you talk about 4 opterons. I correct my prediction I predict that crafty will get 7/11. Junior, >Shredder and Fritz are the clear tournament favourites IMHO - they are also the >entries that can be expected to come up with hardware that is not *that* much >slower than Crafty's if at all, although they are the ones who need it the >least, but Crafty will most probably have a decent hardware advantage in all >other games. > >4th or 5th place is most likely IMHO, where there is also some chance to >outperform one of the top professionals, so 3rd would be a very nice and not >*too* unrealistic positive extreme. > >6th or 7th is probably the negative extreme if things go badly. > >We'll find out soon ;). What is your tournament goal for Movei? >Peter I hope not to finish last place. I still do not know the hardware of movei and what is the best hardware that I can buy now for WCCC. I am afraid that I woke up too late when I assumed that the time of buying new hardware that IBM does not have in Israel is not more than 2 weeks. Uri
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