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Subject: Re: The importance of opening books -- a simple experiment

Author: Arturo Ochoa

Date: 06:54:52 02/19/05

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On February 19, 2005 at 04:22:06, Uri Blass wrote:

>On February 19, 2005 at 02:47:39, Arturo Ochoa wrote:
>
>>On February 18, 2005 at 19:19:31, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>On February 18, 2005 at 18:52:58, Arturo Ochoa wrote:
>>>
>>>>On February 18, 2005 at 18:12:18, Sune Fischer wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On February 18, 2005 at 13:29:56, Arturo Ochoa wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yes but what is "help a lot"?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Look the answer: 30% of the total score reached by Diep in testings and 25% of
>>>>>>the total score reached by Zappa in private tests. The books was responsible of
>>>>>>30% and 25% of the score reached for every mentioned engine.
>>>>>
>>>>>I'm not quite sure what that means actually.
>>>>>
>>>>>If your score is 20% and you improve that by 30% you score will be 26% which is
>>>>>a rating increase of 59 Elo.
>>>>>
>>>>>If the score improves 30% from 50% to 65% it's a 107 Elo.
>>>>>
>>>>>If the score improves by 30% from 35% to 65% it's 240 Elo.
>>>>>
>>>>>If the score improves by 30% from 60% to 90% it's 320 Elo.
>>>>>
>>>>>-S.
>>>>
>>>>These assumptions are absolutely wrong. It is a common problem in this Forum of
>>>>asserting things that I have not said.
>>>>
>>>>"Look the answer: 30% of the total score reached by Diep in testings and 25% of
>>>>the total score reached by Zappa in private tests. The books was responsible of
>>>>30% and 25% of the score reached for every mentioned engine.
>>>>I'm not quite sure what that means actually."
>>>>
>>>>Example: If Diep played 10 games, and it won 10 games, 3 games were because of
>>>>the book. Do you understand? A direct win because of the book.
>>>>
>>>>AO--
>>>
>>>It means that diep scored 10/x in your testing with book when 7/x was without
>>>book when x is unknown.
>>
>>Incorrect. I means, that Diep wont 7 games because of the game of the engine and
>>3 games because of the book. Learn to read. :))))
>
>It is not logical that diep with your book won every game in your test so I
>assumed that you ignored games that it lost.
>
>If it really won every game in your tests then something is not serious in your
>test because in tournament it does not win every game.
>
>>
>>>
>>>Of course even if we know x it cannot mean nothing about rating points because
>>>the condition of your testing have to be different than the condition in the
>>>tournament.
>>
>>This is not relevant to the point. The point is how points the book gave and how
>>it can mean in elo points. Useless to explain you and you understand anything.
>
>I guess now that you probably meant that if Diep score x/10 in with book then it
>could score x-3/10 without your book and x=10 was only an example.
>
>10/10 was unrealistic in the first place so it cause the confusion.
>
>I think that difference of 3/10 against the same opponents mean an estimate of
>240 rating points.
>
>I got this estimate by the following assumption.
>
>Assume you have equal opponents
>you score 5/10 against them
>Your book increase the score to 8/10
>
>8-2 against equal opponents is translated to estimate of 240 elo(If I beat 8-2
>an opponent that is 240 elo weaker in Israel than the difference in rating
>between me and my opponent is still 240)
>>
>>
>>>
>>>In tournaments part of the opponents are not passive target and it is possible
>>>that your plan against version X does not work for the simple reason that the
>>>author upgraded to version X+1.
>>
>>This is not relevant. In Tournament, a direct win has always happened. What is
>>your point ???????
>
>My point was that testing at home against passive opponents cannot tell you a
>good estimate to the number of points that you can earn.
>You need to test against some unknown opponents to get a better estimate.
>
>In second thought I do not know how you test so it is possible that you used
>also testing against unknown opponents(to you) in order to get an estimate.
>>
>>>
>>>Not easy to predict how many prepared direct wins you will lose because of that.
>>
>>I have never lost a direct wint. What kind of absurd idea are you meaning?
>
>I think that my english was not good here.
>
>I meant drawing or losing a game against version X+1 when based on your
>preperation you could win it against version X.
>
>Uri

Dont you understand what a direct win by book means?



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