Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 23:50:08 02/02/99
Go up one level in this thread
On February 03, 1999 at 02:00:28, KarinsDad wrote: [snip] >It's still bogus. > >The "probabilities" are similar to if he beat Kasparov, and then turned around >and beat a class B player. The probabilities are that low (hence, his actual >strength was much higher). Yes. But what is the answer? Jump his ELO by 400 points? Should it also drop just as fast if he has a bad tournament? ELO rankings have a large inertia. It is part of the design. >> >>>Within 4 months, his rating was 1604, within 8 months 1667. His current rating >>>is 1780. >>This is obviously his true ability, but his ELO at the time of the wins was >>1351, none-the-less. > >Actually, I wouldn't doubt that his true rating belongs up around 1900 or so. Who knows, it could be 2300. People on the way up cannot move up instantaneously. It's part of the formula. The same thing will happen to anyone on the rise.
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