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Subject: Re: Never lost or drawn a game against a 150pt lesser player in 155 games

Author: Jeremiah Penery

Date: 19:47:37 03/18/99

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On March 18, 1999 at 22:27:01, James Robertson wrote:

>On March 18, 1999 at 13:43:07, Peter Kappler wrote:

<snip>

>>A 150-point rating differential translates to a 30% win probability for the
>>lower rated player.  The likelihood of you winning 30 or 40 games in a row in
>>this scenario is essentially zero.
>
>I would be willing to wager no one in this forum has a calculator that can
>calculate 0.70 ^ 30 or 0.70 ^ 40. :)

Nah.. Windows Calculator can even do this stuff. :)

0.7 ^ 30 = 0.000022539340290692258087863249
0.7 ^ 40 = 0.0000006366805760909027985741435139224

Indeed, those are very small probabilities.

Jeremiah



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