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Subject: Re: Does a Deep Blue Junior Destroy the Chess Programs Market as we know it?

Author: James Robertson

Date: 09:52:57 05/03/99

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On May 02, 1999 at 15:34:03, Roger D Davis wrote:

>Say that Hsu is able to make a Deep Blue Junior card available for the average
>PC-compatible computer for $200 (my assumption, not published info). Wouldn't
>that destroy the market for the commericial programs? I mean, who is going to
>want to pay $100 for Millenium or even $50 for Fritz when they can pay less than
>the price of Chessbase and have something that could shred all but the top ten
>grandmasters (and maybe those two) on their desktop? Since a single chess chip
>slowed way, way down thumped two of the leading commercials, seems that this
>will destory the careers of a lot of good programmers. Either that, or you'll be
>able to buy Rebel for $20, and free shipping.
>
>Roger

I sincerely hope it does not do what Hsu claims. :) I think the biggest problem
with the whole plan is the minute size of the market. As it stands, the average
chess player is creamed by a Novag Sapphire, or maybe even Jrcp, so why would
they need DB for analysis or teaching? The only reason would be the knowledge
that they have the best program known on *their* computer.

Whoopee do. After 20 minutes the customer can't realize why they just spent
$200-1000. :)

At least that is what I hope happens. I much prefer there being competition in
the market to drive innovation and development. :)

James



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