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Subject: Re: WCCC 1999 Pairings

Author: José Berdiñas Bonefua

Date: 18:55:17 06/08/99

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On June 08, 1999 at 18:21:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On June 08, 1999 at 13:51:13, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>
>>On June 08, 1999 at 12:44:04, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote:
>>
>>>On June 08, 1999 at 09:36:12, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>>>
>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 08:13:55, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 03:00:22, Bruce Moreland wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 01:36:33, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>The web page http://www.uni-paderborn.de/~wccc99/ reports that standard
>>>>>>>(non-accelerated) pairings will be used, but from my conversation with some of
>>>>>>>the ICCA executive, they do intend to use accelerated pairings (mainly because
>>>>>>>it will force more games to be played between the strongest opponents.)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>So I am writing this so that everyone is not shocked when they get there. :-)
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I predict a big fight.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>bruce
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>I don't know who the TD is, but you can tell him for me that this is _stupid_.
>>>>>All he has to do is ask _any_ legitimate TD and he'll discover that accelerated
>>>>>pairings are _wrong_ when you have more than log2(players) rounds.  And since
>>>>>2^7 (7 rounds) is > number of players, this is useless...
>>>>>
>>>>>Some people never learn.  Or they refuse to learn.  :)
>>>>
>>>>I specifically gave this argument, Bob.  But David Levy replied that they wanted
>>>>to maximize the number of games between strong opponents, and that using
>>>>accelerated pairings would do that.  I went and researched this a bit, and
>>>>here's what I found in the Chess Federation of Canada handbook (at
>>>>"http://www.chess.ca/section6"):
>>>>
>>>>Accelerated Methods of Pairing Early Rounds (Variations)
>>>>
>>>>633. In a tournament where the players-to-rounds ratio exceeds the optimum
>>>>(16:4, 32:5, 64:6, etc.), the chances of producing a clear winner are decreased.
>>>>
>>>>Accelerated pairings increase the frequency of meeting of the higher ranked
>>>>players and are therefore also useful in longer tournaments where the winner is
>>>>unlikely to have a perfect score.
>>>>
>>>>The effect of these variations decreases when the players are of about the same
>>>>playing strength (as in a tournament divided into sections by playing strength).
>>>>
>>>>[after this, specific VARIATIONS 633.1 and 633.2 are discussed]
>>>>
>>>>They are using accelerated pairings to "increase the frequency of meetings of
>>>>the higher ranked players" because that is "useful in longer tournaments where
>>>>the winner is unlikely to have a perfect score."  I thought about it, decided
>>>>that this description fit the WCCC very well, and consequently was persuaded by
>>>>David's argument.
>>>>
>>>>Dave
>>>
>>>	What I most dislike is that nobody knows which are the strongest entries, so I
>>>do not see how the accelerated pairings will help to match them more frequently.
>>>	I think one of the premises for accelerated pairings to work is to have a good
>>>ranking of the players, like an established ratings list. But I remember
>>>somebody said that in these tournaments the entries are ranked according to the
>>>TD's guesses. I do not think that is a good ranking.
>>>José.
>>
>>There's plenty of background material to rank the players on, including the
>>result of previous tournaments and, for some entrants, the SSDF list.  It's not
>>as good as it would be in a human tournament, but it is acceptable.
>>
>>One time I played in the Quebec open: they use a different rating system in
>>Quebec (FQE) than in the rest of Canada.  So they took my 1927 CFC rating and
>>subtracted 100 points, and paired me as an 1827.  The young 2100+ FQE player who
>>I beat left without resigning in person: I went to look for him, and found him
>>crying in another room.  How could he have known that I was a little bit better
>>than a weak 'A' player?  I was already underrated at 1927, and there apparently
>>wasn't really a 100 point difference between the two rating systems. He went on
>>to became Quebec's junior champion the next year.
>>
>>Upsets happen, but since a reasonable ranking can be made before the event, it
>>is okay to use accelerated pairings.
>>
>>Dave
>
>
>You only have to go back to 1997's event to see why this isn't a great idea.
>By the time the final round gets there, all the top programs have _already_
>played.  And the tournament is essentially over.  you just move the final
>(important) rounds up one level by doing this...  and with < 32 teams, there
>is _no_ reason.  check the math on what happens if you have 16 weak programs,
>and 16 strong programs...  with 5, 6 and 7 rounds... with and without
>accelerating the pairings...

Paris 1997 is very diferent to Paderborn 1999.
In Paris i can see only 6 or 7 programs with real possibility to win in 11
rounds., and now in 1999 I can count 14 strong programs ( IMO at the same level)
with the same possibility to win in only 7 rounds.
I do no see which is the problem??

José



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