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Subject: Re: What guarentee do we have that the grandmaster is getting no assistance?

Author: KarinsDad

Date: 12:28:07 07/09/99

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On July 09, 1999 at 14:06:06, Paulo Soares wrote:

[snip]
>
>I do not believe that the computers can some day defeat a postal
>player if he will also be assisted by a program, therefore the
>player always goes to have the control of the program, to look the
>best way.
>
>Paulo Soares, from Brazil

With today's programs and an extremely good postal player, I would agree with
you (although anomalies could happen). But just look at how far advanced chess
programs have come within the last 25 years.

Within the next 25 years and with technology such as DB Junior, it is quite
conceivable that chess programs could beat any correspondence player who is not
using a program. Since on any given day any chess program of similar strength
can beat any other chess program of similar strength, it will not matter in 25
years whether the correspondence player is using a program or not. On any given
day, the program that does not have a correspondence player assisting should
have a fair chance of beating the program that does.

Additionally, if you have read any of the comments by today's IMs or GMs
concerning postal players, you will notice that most of the comments indicate
that postal players (even the best of them) are nowhere near the superGM level
of play. Personally, I cannot say one way or the other. But if the GMs who have
analyzed postal games think that the play is inferior and computer programs are
knocking on the door of beating superGMs, it seems very likely that even by
using a computer, good postal players will one day lose to the computers. It
seems inevitable. Even the best postal player today can walk into a 30 ply deep
tactical mistake and the program will not usually help. In fact, a program could
unduly influence a player into making an inferior move.

KarinsDad :)



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