Author: KarinsDad
Date: 09:42:07 07/28/99
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On July 28, 1999 at 07:19:25, Phil Dixon wrote: > > >A recent issue of the Colorado Chess Informant covering the 1998 U.S. >Championship, featured mini-interviews with several of the players. GM Joel >Benjamin was asked about the relative strength of 1700-, 2200- and 2700-players. >Joel said that a 1700 would probably have slightly better chances against a 2200 >than a 2200 vs. a 2700. He reasoned that 2200s are erratic, i.e., their playing >strength is more likely to fluctuate than that of GMs. > >Joel was also asked how he would do against WCC Champion Garry Kasparov. >Benjamin responded that if he could get an opening edge against a GM of his own >strength, he'd most likely win. However, in the same scenario, Kasparov would >most likely draw or even beat him. For Joel to have a decent shot, Kasparov >would have to give him the White pieces, and draw odds. >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > >The above piece is from Inside Chess Online. A fine magazine, IMO. But I would >be interested in others comments about this article. Does the average GM need >White AND draw odds to have a chance against K? > >Does a 1700 have a BETTER chance against a 2200 than a GM against K? It seems >like the answer is yes, IMO. He does have to play aggressively and constantly >strive for the initiative. I would think so. I am about a 1700 player and have had 2200 players on the ropes a few times. I have never managed to win (they somehow seem to squirm out, but I do know of cases where 1500 players have beaten 2200 players). Kasparov has lost very few games within the last 15 years and I believe that all (or almost all) of those loses have been against players within 200 points of him. I think the average GM does not stand much of a chance against him (at least not in practice, regardless of what the statistics say). Now that I have said this, let me put in a caveat. I think an average GM has less chance of beating Kasparov than a 1700 player has of beating a 2200 player. However, I think an average GM has a better chance to draw Kasparov than a 1700 player has of drawing a 2200 player. The reasons for this are: 1) GK will not often give up the win, but he will occasionally give up the draw, especially if he only needs draws to win a tournament and 2) there is a greater rating difference between a 1700 player and a 2200 player than there is between an average GM and Kasparov. > >Can a 1700 win a 10 game match against a 2200 player? There is a statistical possiblity. However, I do not see it ever happening in real life unless some other elements are there (the 2200 player being ill, the 1700 player really being a 2100 player, etc.). KarinsDad :)
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