Author: Shep
Date: 07:45:30 07/30/99
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On July 30, 1999 at 09:05:43, Robert Hyatt wrote: >I don't really know... my 'feeling' is that as we get more we will hit them >more. IE it is pretty hard to get to 3 pieces from 10 pieces, because that >requires a lot of deep trades/captures... I suspect it is easier to get to >5 from 12, than to 3 from 10, for example. So getting to 6 from 13 ought to >be even easier, and you might be right. [snip] >So you might be right. 12-14 seems common in blitz. In a standard game, I >suspect that this might stretch out a bit more...: Thanks for the interesting info! The point I am trying to make is that if this is a typical phenomenon - i.e. if an N-man TB is not just hit a lot from 3+N but maybe from 2*N or higher -, we may be "a little" closer to perfect play because we will certainly not need the infamous "32-man TB". If for example a 15-man TB is already hit a lot from positions with 22-28 pieces, we are many orders of magnitude better off. Now 15-man may still be out of reach for a looong time, but maybe 10-man is possible within the next 50 years; that would make middlegames really tough for humans if the machine starts hitting the TB's in situations with 18-25 pieces... --- Shep
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