Author: Christophe Theron
Date: 14:59:29 11/17/99
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On November 17, 1999 at 03:06:29, Stephen A. Boak wrote: >On November 16, 1999 at 07:32:57, Christophe Theron wrote: > >>On November 16, 1999 at 06:49:28, Stephen A. Boak wrote: >> >>>On November 16, 1999 at 02:16:10, Christophe Theron wrote: >>> >>>>On November 15, 1999 at 23:01:17, Stephen A. Boak wrote: >>>> >>>>>Based on the following reported results for Chess Tiger 12.0 at 40/2hr time >>>>>controls, and assumed ratings shown for the opponents, I calculate the >>>>>Performance Rating for Chess Tiger for 122 games at 2726. >>>>> >>>>>SSDF Chesstiger12.0 (A450)-Fritz5.32 (P200MMX), 2575, 30,5-13,5 >>>>>SSDF ChessTiger 12 K6-2 - Shredder 2 200MMX, 2503, 28.5-11.5 >>>>>ChessTiger12-Fritz6, 2681(?): +5 =1 -0 Thorsten Czub >>>>>SSDF Chesstiger12.0 (equal)-Hiarcs 7.32 128MB K6-2 450 MHz, 2646, 19.5-12.5 >>>>> >>>>>--Steve Boak >>>> >>>>What happens to the rating if you take out the games played by Thorsten? Because >>>>there is no evidence that Fritz6 is as strong as Fritz5.32... >>>> >>>> >>>> Christophe >>> >>>Without the Thorsten games, ChessTiger 12.0 is 2711 for 116 games. Yes, I >>>assumed Fritz6 was equal (absent evidence) to Fritz5.32. Dropping those 6 games >>>is not very significant since so many games have elsewhere been reported against >>>opponents with established ratings. >>> >>>--Steve >> >>OK, thanks. >> >>Do you have a program or a spreadsheet to compute this? >> >> >> Christophe > >I use a very simple spreadsheet with a very simple formula. Can you read an >Excel file? or another style spreadsheet? Let me know which one you can read, >and I'll send it to you by eMail. Yes I can read Excel97 files. >The simple formula (it can be very easily calculated by hand or programmed in >whatever language you want to use) is: > > A. Add up all opponent ratings for *all* the games, >then > B. Calculate (Total ChessTiger 12.0 score - Total Opponent score)*400, >then > C. Divide the grand sum (A+B) by the total number of rated games. > >It's that easy. > >NOTE--for the Step B calculation, you can simply use > (CT12WinQty - CT12LossQty)*400 >if it is easier to use the Win and Loss counts for CT12, instead of Total Scores >for CT12 and its Opponents. Here is another way of looking at the same >calculation and how to 'program' it: > >[RtgOpp1*QtyGamesVsOpp1 + > RtgOpp2*QtyGamesVsOpp2 + > RtgOpp3*QtyGamesVsOpp3 + ... > RtgOppN*QtyGamesVsOppN + > (CT12TotScore - OppTotScore)*400] / TotRatedGames > >I call this the +/- 400 (plus minus 400) rule for Performance Rating >calculation. It is the same as averaging your individual game performance >rating for each game, based on: >A. If you win, you get your opponent's rating plus 400 pts. >B. If you lose, you get your opponent's rating minus 400 pts. >C. If you draw, you get your opponent's rating. > >This, by the way, is the basic formula used to establish a provisional rating >for a new USCF player in the United States. After approx 20 games or so, the >provisional rating becomes a 'permanent' rating, the +/- 400 rule is no longer >used, and the USCF then uses a version of ELO rating formulas to alter the >'permanent' rating thereafter. > >The +/- 400 rule is used, however, any time it is desired to calculate the >Tournament Performance Rating (TPR) for a player in a particular tournament. >The tournament can be USCF or FIDE type, or any similarly rated, ELO-based >system. If I received a TPR of 2850 in a FIDE tournament, that would mean my >performance level (score obtained versus my particular opponents and their >particular ratings) was about the same as what Kasparov would be expected to >obtain, if he played those same opponents instead of me. :) > >It might work also, over a large number of games, on another rating system, such >as the English or British rating system. But the magnitude 400 is probably >scaled for mathematical ELO-systems like USCF and FIDE. You often see the TPR >ratings shown, for example, in the London Chess Centre's This Week in Chess >(TWIC) reports of major tournaments (as a column in the results crosstable). In >this case it is used as a measure of how well a player performed in a single >tournament, against a certain field of opponents. > >In this instance, since CT12 opponents are rated at the SSDF ELO-based system, >the Performance Rating I calculated for CT12 may be compared to other comp-comp >ratings issued by SSDF. Thus is approximates the SSDF rating that CT12 has >earned so far due to its score versus those particular SSDF-rated opponents. > >I keep my personal human results, including score and opponent rating, on a >spreadsheet. I use the TPR +/- 400 rule to calculate my TPR, tournament by >tournament, as well as my 'running TPR' (which changes game by game) over the >last 50, 25 and 15 games. These TPR figures are easily graphed by my >spreadsheet program (Excel)to track my performance trend over time. I even >separately calculate my TPR with White pieces, then my TPR with Black pieces, so >I can see my trends there, analyze my strengths and weaknesses, and improve my >worst areas. As you would expect, the TPR with White pieces is normally always >higher than the TPR with Black pieces. It is interesting to calculate how much >different those TPR ratings are--if you like statistics like I do! :) > >--Steve Thanks a lot for all these explanations. I have printed you message and will keep it somewhere for future references. What you explain sheds some light on things I have heard several times but was not able to understand. I assume the SSDF is using these rules too? Christophe
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