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Subject: Re: Show it's predictive power.

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 11:49:07 12/10/99

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On December 10, 1999 at 14:34:22, Charles Unruh wrote:
>On December 10, 1999 at 13:24:32, Roger wrote:
[snip]
>>Recalibration is inevitable, because GM-computer games will become much more
>>common.
>
>
>Well not inevitable as no one is currently doing it, but hopefully it will get
>done soon, we may already have enough rebel games to start with, if not, then
>with a few more games with a few willing masters on ICC and we'll have enough to
>rate that program.  As for Junior, I suspect there are enough games if not then
>close. And a few games on ICC or FICS for that matter and it would be a good go
>to start recalibrating the ssdf, to finally go ahead and prove that i was right
>all along(Heck that ICC was right based on the ICC poll we had cincerning GM
>strength.  Most people thought Comps were GM strength!) :).

Rebel's GM challenge is an example where human players of known strength are
pitted against a computer under tournament conditions and time control with
money at stake.

So you are mistaken that nobody is doing it.  However, it will require that the
SSDF use hardware equivalent to what Ed is using for some tests in order to
understand how the tests relate to one another.  Also, it is a single program
and there are not a lot of games.  But no one besides Ed seems to be ready to
put their money where their mouth is.

I don't think that ICC or FICS games should be compared to try and calibrate a
rating.  I doubt if the GM's are very serious most of the time and expect that
they are using the computers as sounding boards to test strategies for tactical
weaknesses.  If I were a GM, that's what I would use them for.




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