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Subject: Re: Chess Tiger - Is It Really 2696 ELO?

Author: blass uri

Date: 00:04:48 12/24/99

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On December 23, 1999 at 22:48:32, Albert Silver wrote:

>On December 23, 1999 at 16:58:01, John Warfield wrote:
>
>>On December 23, 1999 at 07:08:38, Albert Silver wrote:
>>
>>>On December 23, 1999 at 06:32:32, Graham Laight wrote:
>>>
>>>>On December 22, 1999 at 21:48:40, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On December 22, 1999 at 19:03:34, Graham Laight wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On December 22, 1999 at 15:07:42, Albert Silver wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>At the end of the day, good chess is good chess. A machine that can beat more
>>>>>>>>computers is also likely to beat more humans.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>That's really the core of the issue, and I don't agree with it. I used to, but
>>>>>>>as I grew stronger in chess, I changed my mind. It isn't because I am way up
>>>>>>>there, but because I can better appreciate the difference between myself and an
>>>>>>>IM for example. The point is 80-90% of computer chess is dependent on tactics,
>>>>>>
>>>>>>As computers continiue to get stronger, strong chess players are going to have
>>>>>>to accept that there's more than one way to play good chess. Daniel King
>>>>>>suggested this in his book about the GK/DB 1997 rematch in New York.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>and let's say up to a strength of 2100-2200, this is also very true for human
>>>>>>>players, but then a new important factor comes in and the balance swings
>>>>>>>completely. Most IMs and GMs rely on their positional play, and this weighs in
>>>>>>>more and more as a rule the stronger they get. This is not the case of computer
>>>>>>>programs. Not by a long shot. And since no program is sufficiently strong
>>>>>>>positionally to properly compensate inferior tactics with superior positional
>>>>>>>play, the tactical wizards consistently top the lists.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>This doesn't quite seem to add up to me. More and more frequently, we are
>>>>>>reading about GMs succumbing to computers at tournament time controls. DB v GK
>>>>>>was a good example. In the last Aegon tournament (1997), the computers beat the
>>>>>>humans overall. If the limit of tactical strength has been reached by computers,
>>>>>>and if computers do not have mastery of positional factors, then what's going
>>>>>>on?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I'm still not happy that I agree with yours and Bob's assertion that SSDF rate
>>>>>>the computers too highly. It's true that there is a tendency for new programs to
>>>>>>come in with very high Elo ratings, and then shrink back with the passage of
>>>>>>time, but these guys are very experienced at what they're doing. They admit that
>>>>>>there's a margin of error, but, over a long period of time, haven't they been
>>>>>>around about the right order of magnitude with their ratings?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>If you don't believe that Tiger is significantly over 2600 Fide, then in the
>>>>>>recent past, something has gone very wrong in the SSDF team.
>>>>>
>>>>>The problem is well-documented.  if one pool has nothing but monkeys, and
>>>>>the other nothing but chess geniuses, you will still have 1200 humans
>>>>>and monkeys, and you will have 2800 humans and monkeys. And the ratings
>>>>>won't have a thing to do with each other.  Because there is no cross-
>>>>>pollenation of the rating pools.
>>>>
>>>>In the case of the SSDF computer pool, much of it has been there for a long
>>>>time, and is known to be broadly correct.
>>>>
>>>>And in the past, the evidence has supported SSDF - there just hasn't been much
>>>>in the way of evidence in the last couple of years.
>>>>
>>>>If you regard your "human" rating to be about 2200, can you beat programs (other
>>>>than your own, which you know too well) of a higher rating? If you believe that
>>>>the computer ratings are about 200 Elo too high, you ought to be able to.
>>>
>>>I do, and I have. I have a lot of programs and there isn't one I haven't beat in
>>>a slower time-control. Anti-computer chess is alive and well though using it
>>>wasn't even always necessary. This would NEVER work against a GM, and against a
>>>2700 player I would have quite simply NO chance. EVER. And as you say, chess is
>>>chess, so using anti-computer chess is by all means an acceptable solution. You
>>>want a deadly opening with White? Try the Ruy Lopez Exchange variation. In the
>>>hands of an expert, computers program are in very big trouble. That's just an
>>>example.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>>I have watched Tiger play.  It _absolutely_ is not a 2700 FIDE player.  Nor
>>>>>is any other program IMHO.
>>>>
>>>>But can a GM guarantee to know what good chess looks like?
>>>
>>>Yes.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>A lot of GMs strongly criticised much of DB's play against GK - often using
>>>>phrases like "that move was truly ugly", thus implying that to be a good move, a
>>>>move has to "look attractive" - but in the end DB came away with the points.
>>>
>>>Highly debatable. The reason DB didn't convince GMs of being superior, is
>>>because it was inferior in most games. For whatever reasons Kasparov was not
>>>able to convert these positions, but the inferior positions were due to inferior
>>>positional play.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>What is wrong with the way Tiger plays? Can you describe to me the aspects of
>>>>its play which have convinced you that it is not anywhere close to being a super
>>>>GM, as its rating would imply?
>>>
>>>Aspects? Positional play, strategic play, endgame play. Mind you, I think Tiger
>>>plays great, but that is what differentiates it from a GM.
>>>
>>>                                    Albert Silver
>>>
>>>>
>>>>-g
>>
>>
>>  Mr Silver
>>
>> If I am not mistaken I read your rating is 2294, ofcourse you are going to beat
>>a top program at 40/2 from time to time as you are expected to. You would also
>>beat a 2700 player a percentage of points, so what's your point?
>
>I disagree. Perhaps if I inflated my ego some, I might believe that, but I can't
>imagine how a 2700 player could lose to me short of falling for some opening
>trap. When was the last time a 2700 player _lost_ to a player below 2300?
>
>                                      Albert Silver
>
>BTW, my rating is only 2220.

You can know only if you try.

I know about cases when a player below 2100 won 2500 player and I think that the
probability is the same.

In one case the under 2100 player won after less than 2 hours.
I asked him how did he do it and he told me that everything was opening
preperation and the opponent falled into a trap.

In the second case the GM simply did not play well.



I do not believe that it is impossible for you to win 2700 if you play enough
games.
The 2700 player may do a tactical blunder.

It does not happen often but it can happen.
I know that even world champions including kasparov did tactical mistakes.

Uri



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