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Subject: Re: Poll Question - Tournaments vs Matches

Author: Ed Schröder

Date: 11:14:36 01/05/00

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On January 05, 2000 at 14:05:38, Chessfun wrote:

>On January 05, 2000 at 13:40:02, Ed Schröder wrote:
>
>>On January 05, 2000 at 13:25:12, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On January 05, 2000 at 10:53:50, Bertil Eklund wrote:
>>>
>>>>On January 05, 2000 at 09:45:04, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>For ELO measurements (FIDE, PCA, SSDF or combined).  Would a computer
>>>>>(or perhaps a person) get a higher rating in a tournament than in
>>>>>a match?
>>>>>
>>>>>My opinion is that a tournament is a better predictor of strength
>>>>>than a match.  My reason (not based on any facts, it would be an
>>>>>interesting study) is that in a tournament a person (or machine) would
>>>>>face a broader range of styles than in a match.  In a match, the person
>>>>>or computer might face an opponent that just plain does well against
>>>>>him/her/it (Even Fisher had a nimises).  Also, in match play, each
>>>>>player can book up on the opponent and may get an advantage that might
>>>>>not be there in a tournament (more players to worry about).
>>>>>
>>>>>So, I think a tournament is a better measure of strength than a match.
>>>>>
>>>>>Second question:  Would computer ratings benifit more from tournament
>>>>>play than match play?  I vote that tournament play would produce higher
>>>>>(more accurate) ratings for computers against people than match play.
>>>>>
>>>>>Just my two cents.  :)
>>>>>
>>>>>Best Regards,
>>>>>Chris Carson
>>>>Hi!
>>>>
>>>>You are right humans plays a lot better in single game matches and that is the
>>>>main reason between the discrepance between the SSDF-list and these matches
>>>>often with increment or double-increment time-controls.
>>>>
>>>>Regards Bertil SSDF
>>>
>>>
>>>Here I still disagree.  The SSDF list is simply grossly inflated.  Programs are
>>>not playing at a 2700 level, if by 2700 the word "FIDE" comes to mind.  The lack
>>>of human competition over the last 7-8 years has caused this, as
>>>machine-vs-machine ratings tend to get exaggerated.  I can't count the number of
>>>times I have made small changes to crafty that would cause version N+1 to beat
>>>version N by a 60-40 margin, yet the rating remained _exactly_ the same on ICC.
>>>
>>>Most versions will beat the earlier versions by significant margins, yet the
>>>overall skill level gain (against humans) is lower than what is suggested by
>>>taking the win/lose/draw score and running it thru the Elo formula.
>>>
>>>As I have said before, the pools are totally different.  The ratings are not
>>>comparable in any fashion until the two pools of players are merged and mingled
>>>enough that they can be treated equally.
>>
>>I say amen to that. How can anybody believe nowadays chess programs can
>>compete with players like:
>>
>>6 2209390 Shirov, Alexei  2722 ESP g  13
>>7 2000024 Kamsky, Gata  2720 USA g  0
>>8 2805677 Gelfand, Boris  2713 ISR g  24
>>9 4100026 Karpov, Anatoly  2709 RUS g  9
>>10 400041 Adams, Michael  2705 ENG g  48
>>11 141800010 Ivanchuk, Vassily  2702 UKR g  27
>>12 703303 Leko, Peter  2699 HUN g  14
>>13 2900084 Topalov, Veselin  2695 BUL g  36
>>
>>on 40/2?
>>
>>Maybe they can on 30/all but 40/2?
>>
>>Ed
>
>As has been seen by some of the threads in the last couple of weeks a lot of
>people can and do believe such a thing. FYI (I am not one of them) IMHO at
>30/all as in Frankfurt, I am even then not convinced that were they to compete
>with GM's regularly at those time controls that they (comps) would be able t6o
>stay in the top 50.
>Thanks.

Right.

50 1000055 Piket, Jeroen  2625 NED g  44
51 1700014 Andersson, Ulf  2623 SWE g  12
52 13900048 Bologan, Viktor  2620 MDA g  41
53 13500139 Aleksandrov, Aleksej  2619 BLR g  14
54 715620 Chernin, Alexander  2619 HUN g  32
55 14602377 Beliavsky, Alexander G  2618 SLO g  35
56 2000040 Gulko, Boris F  2618 USA g  4
57 13300016 Vaganian, Rafael A  2617 ARM g  21

No program comes even close to 2600 IMHO at 40/2.

Ed




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