Author: Alvaro Polo
Date: 09:09:24 01/14/00
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On January 14, 2000 at 10:58:13, Shep wrote: >On January 14, 2000 at 08:18:28, Alvaro Polo wrote: > >>On January 14, 2000 at 08:04:01, Rajen Gupta wrote: >> >>>last year 9or was it 2 yrs back when Hsu first claimed he could produce a single >>>chip kasparov beater, i was highly sceptical and was sure hsu would find an >>>excuse not to produce it-and sure enough he has- >>> >>>if he really does have such a chip i'm sure others wiould be interested in >>>buying these rights >>> >>>rajen gupta >> >>I am not that sure that others would be interested in buying these rights. I >>don't believe there is enough money on the chess market to sell the chips >>profitably. The computer chess market is very small. The only money there >>is, in my opinion, lies in a match DB-Kasparov. This third match interests > >I'd disagree a bit. Just remember how much money some of the wealthy chess clubs >(e.g. in Germany or Israel) pay to have GM's playing for them. >I can imagine a _lot_ of chess clubs all over Europe would be willing to buy >several units each to help their players analyze, teach their younger members >etc. >Also I suppose almost every 2200+ player would like to have one, too. >All this adds up to probably much more than 3,000 or 5,000 units. >With a pricing of $500-$1000, that should be possible to realize (given that you >can gain even more through the PR you get with this for any other product you >might sell). >At least it seems like a risk some companies might be willing to take. > >--- >Shep I will take the most favourable case. 5,000 units sold at, say, 750$. Gross margin is 35%. This means there is 1,3 million dollar total gross marginto be made. This is a ridiculously low number for any company to be interested in that market. Certainly not Intel or Sun. Perhaps a one man company could be interested but there is certainly not much money to be earned here. Alvaro
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