Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 19:36:34 01/14/00
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On January 14, 2000 at 22:32:40, James Robertson wrote: >On January 14, 2000 at 19:53:34, Dann Corbit wrote: > >>On January 14, 2000 at 09:31:43, Robert Hyatt wrote: >>>On January 14, 2000 at 02:20:09, James Robertson wrote: >>[snip] >>>>I find it impossible to believe that he is the only human who is capable of >>>>doing this. >>> >>>Think about this: How long did it take him to become able to do this? At >>>least 12 years. How long would it take someone _new_ to catch up to his >>>skills at this? About 12 years. >> >>I think "anyone could have done it" is a bit of a reach. > >Who's quote is this? It certainly isn't mine. Hyperbole on my part, certainly. What was said was: "I find it impossible to believe that he is the only human who is capable of doing this." which implies that others are able. >>There are two reasons >>that I say this. First, nobody else *did* it with the success that he had. If >>they could have, why didn't they? > >$$$ Has the financial reward suddenly vanished? If another machine came along and could successfully challenge Kasparov and/or Deep Blue would it fail to garner the interest of people? I suspect it might even be more monumentous. >> >>The second reason is that 'could have' does not connect with 'would have.' >>For instance, Bill Pugh invented the skiplist in the 1980's. Hoare invented >>quicksort in the 1960's. The concepts are simple. Many people "could have" >>invented those things. But they didn't. Why not? >> >>* Lacked effort >>* Lacked interest >>* Lacked time >>* Lacked money >>* Lacked <whatever> >> >>If the Laser and Teflon had not been invented by their inventors would we have >>found them by now? Probably, but maybe not. In any case the proof of the >>pudding is in the eating. Hsu's pudding was the best tasting ever, unless you >>happen to be Kasparov. Apparently, he's not in any big rush for a second >>helping. >>;-) >> >> >>[snip] > >This is the wrong way to look at it. There is _one_ way to make Teflon. There >are unlimited possibilities for a chess computer. Just because Hsu invented one >way does not mean there are not many many other ways. Still waiting for someone to come up with one of the alternatives....
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