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Subject: Re: DB vs Kasparov - Who won?

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 18:47:22 01/20/00

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On January 20, 2000 at 20:19:29, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On January 20, 2000 at 20:13:56, Chris Carson wrote:
>[snip]
>>You could be right.  :)  However, DT had several failures against
>>the macro's on much slower hardware.  I can post those later if you
>>like.  DT 0.01 and 0.02 did have some very good results.  DT had
>>very mixed results, some impressive, some very disappointing.  :)
>>
>>The DB team was smart for not letting DB/DBII in public before the
>>matches.  Todays commercial programs play in public and many times the
>>human or computer opponent has time to prepare.  IMHO:  In a real contest,
>>this is another advantage for the micors, if DB played a lot of games,
>>I think it's TPR' would fall.  Today's commercial programs already have
>>that reflected in their posted TPR's.  :)
>>
>>BTW:  You have made some good points, both in this thread and a couple
>>of the other related threads.  Your point of view makes me think.  Thanks.
>
>I think you are going to see a titanic fall in the ELO of the micros very soon.
>I believe (without proof) that GM's are starting to figure out that you need to
>use anti-computer tactics when you play them [and to discover exactly what those
>tactics are].  Consider the recent Rebel rematch.  I think the GM did a bit of
>research (or maybe played a whole bunch of games against Rebel) to figure out
>the techniques to use against such an opponent.  If an IM like Hawkeye can give
>micros fits by playing anticomputer chess, then the GM's and SuperGM's will be
>able to crush them once they get the hang of it.

No argument here.  I do believe a well prepared master (FM, IM, or GM)
can score well against the micros.   Same is true for a human opponent.

I also believe we will see some lower TPR's (SSDF and simple stats
support this), however, I will not be surprised to also see better
TPR's.

I think more IM's and GM's will avoid programs more.  I think they will
use them more for preparation and study, but avoid them as opponents.
Even in League play, I think we will see the lower rated team members
playing aginst the programs to avoid a lose by an unprepared high rated
team member.  I expect we may see some draws and maybe even some loses,
but that is expected, just as the higher TPR's are.

>
>However, that regained advantage will be short lived.  Even if the programs do
>not improve at all, hardware improves exponentially.  Suppose we gain only 50
>ELO per year due to hardware.  In ten years that's 500 ELO.  The computer march
>forward is inexorable.

I agree, and I think there are some pretty talented programers that will
take full advantage of the hardware improvements.  :)

This is a great time to be involved in Computer Chess!  :)

Best Regards,
Chris Carson



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