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Subject: Re: New SSDF-list!!!

Author: Roger

Date: 00:04:13 01/31/00

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On January 31, 2000 at 02:59:25, Roger wrote:

>
>1. Wouldn't Tiger repeatedly lose to ALL the other programs, not just Junior?
>There are quite a few games versus Nimzo and Fritz on the 200 megahertz
>machnines there, too. Is it observed with them?
>
>2. Interestingly, the results show that Junior 5 whomps Tiger more than Junior
>6, 33 to 9 (j5) versus 24.5-17.5 (J6). What is it about J5 versus Tiger that
>creates this finding? Obviously it's not tuning, since J5 predates Tiger by a
>lot.
>
>3. I assume the column just to the right of the rating gives the width of a 95%
>confidence interval... If so, then Junior and Tiger are in a statistical dead
>heat.
>
>I know it is a linguistic convention to say that the program with the highest
>rating is in first place, but conventions aside, mathematically there is no
>"first place" here, but only a shared number one: The math is the math (and this
>is nothing against Junior. I own Junior 5 and I like its style a lot better than
>Fritz 6.0 or Hiarcs 7.32). There is just no #1 here (unless you want to argue
>that a smaller confidence interval might be better).
>
>In this list there are two number 9's, and then an eleven, which strongly
>implies that the ratings are more reliable than they really are.
>
>Roger

I read it wrong. J6 whomps J5. So the second point is invalid.

Roger



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