Author: blass uri
Date: 10:41:14 02/10/00
Go up one level in this thread
On February 10, 2000 at 13:39:39, blass uri wrote: >On February 10, 2000 at 10:43:35, Chessfun wrote: > >>On February 09, 2000 at 18:18:29, Frank Schubert wrote: >> >>>General statistics: >>> >>>Games : 420 >>> >>>White Wins : 153 (36.4 %) >>>Black Wins : 96 (22.9 %) >>>Draws : 171 (40.7 %) >>> >>>White Perf. : 56.8 % >>>Black Perf. : 43.2 % >>> >>>ECO A = 54 Games (12.9 %) >>>ECO B = 118 Games (28.1 %) >>>ECO C = 54 Games (12.9 %) >>>ECO D = 100 Games (23.8 %) >>>ECO E = 94 Games (22.4 %) >>> >>> >>> >>>Elo rating list: >>> >>> >>> Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws >>> >>>1 Junior 6.0 : 2666 55 47 120 60.8 % 2589 40.0 % >>>2 Fritz 6a : 2645 57 44 120 57.5 % 2593 41.7 % >>>3 Nimzo 7.32 : 2623 61 41 120 53.8 % 2597 44.2 % >>>4 Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 2605 64 36 120 50.8 % 2599 51.7 % >>>5 Hiarcs 7.32 : 2585 47 62 120 47.5 % 2603 33.3 % >>>6 Shredder 4 : 2575 46 60 120 45.8 % 2604 35.0 % >>>7 Century : 2500 50 51 120 33.8 % 2617 39.2 % >>> >>> >>>After 120 games for each program the margins of error are in the range of >>>+- 50 Elo points. So what does this mean now ? Well, if Enrique would repeat >>>this tournament, then with a probability of 95 % the new Elo rating of Junior >>>would lie between 2721 (= 2666 + 55) and 2619 (= 2666 - 47). But one must take >>>into consideration that the probability for the new Elo value being still 2666 >>>is significantly higher than being 2721 or 2619. Similar statements are >>>valid for the other programs. Therefore the rating list above can be seen as >>>the rating list with the highest probability of all lists. But of course there >>>is still a good chance that after a new Cadaques tournament the winner would be >>>Fritz, Nimzo or Tiger. >>> >>> >>>Individual statistics: >>> >>>(1) Junior 6.0 : 120 (+ 49,= 48,- 23), 60.8 % >>> >>>Shredder 4 : 20 (+ 6,= 10,- 4), 55.0 % >>>Fritz 6a : 20 (+ 6,= 12,- 2), 60.0 % >>>Nimzo 7.32 : 20 (+ 9,= 8,- 3), 65.0 % >>>Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 20 (+ 8,= 8,- 4), 60.0 % >>>Century : 20 (+ 13,= 4,- 3), 75.0 % >>>Hiarcs 7.32 : 20 (+ 7,= 6,- 7), 50.0 % >> >>Excellent tourney...great job by both Enrique and yourself. >>Can you please tell me of the 6 opponents of Junior which >>were with J6 and which were with J6a. >>Thanks. > >J6 played only with shreeder and nimzo I mean of course shredder sorry for the error Uri
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