Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: Off-topic:How Long Before Superintelligence? Probably too soon.

Author: KarinsDad

Date: 11:08:18 03/28/00

Go up one level in this thread


On March 28, 2000 at 13:36:01, Fernando Villegas wrote:

>Hi KD:
>You are right. All that is unavoidable. By the way, last friday night, in my
>"Toby Club" reunion with my intimate friends, one of them putted the issue of a
>very smart guy of the software industry that wrote an article about how we are
>very near the day we will lose our capacity to take decisions, all of them in
>the "hands" from then on of computers. And he called that apocalipsis. I said:
>"what's the problem? Apocalipsis has been created in a daily base by us, human
>breed. I cannot imagine worst decisions that the many one that carried entire
>countries to awful wars. Or the many decisions that has harassed the planet..."
>So, if one day a super computer or league of super computers get the upper hand,
>It cannot be a worst scenary that what happens each day when we, human, take our
>powerful tools and use them silly and criminally.
>Fernando

I disagree with your last sentence.

I feel sad though to think that it all could end.

Of course, humans have been making poor decisions throughout our limited
history, but to make a decision to create a device for the overall betterment
and for it to become the replacement species is kind of sad.

And recently, I have been feeling that it is getting better instead of worse.
Granted, there are still wars in some countries, poverty in others, and
pollution in all parts of the world. But overall, it looked like it was
improving. That may be naive on my part, but hope was still there, at least for
me.

But, a simple set of calculations seems to illustrate that this could all change
and not for the better. Will we recognize potential dangers soon enough and put
a limit to super intelligence or will we destroy ourselves? Only time will tell.

As for apocalypse, you should have lived 5000 years ago when people had to scrap
out a living with sticks. That was an apocalypse. That was when life was hard.
What we have today is a series of small brush fires in comparison. What we have
in a hundred years may make life 5000 years ago look pleasant.

KarinsDad :)



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.