Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 06:25:46 04/11/00
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On April 11, 2000 at 00:44:34, Georg Langrath wrote: >1n 1980 a compterprogram had about 1300 ELO-ratimg. 1990 2000 ELo-rating. 2000 >about 2700 Elo-rating. 700 more every 10 years. Somebody that has the courage to >guess where Elorating is 2010? It will be easy to control if this message-group >is still left. Yes I guess 700 Eloratings more, and that nobody but machines can >win over them then, I think this will depend most on faster hardware. > Your numbers are wrong. In 1980 Belle, and Cray Blitz were both rated over 2200 in the USCF. Nuchess and others were right behind in the 2000+ category. By 1990 this was up to 2350-2400 or so, only a 200 point rating gain. And here at 2000, we have deep blue at roughly 2700. Another 10 years will likely push that to WC level. Don't confuse SSDF ratings with human ELo ratings... comp vs comp gets exaggerated... >Georg
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