Author: KarinsDad
Date: 11:49:24 04/12/00
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On April 12, 2000 at 10:55:41, Graham Laight wrote: [snip] > >I suspect that you'd eventually get to a point where nearly all games are draws. > >Could somebody with Chessbase please create a table of draw ratios against elo >rating? > >For example, based PURELY on guesswork, it might look as follows: > >Elo Rating Percentage Of Draws Against Players Of Similar Rating >========== ===================================================== > >1000 5 >1500 15 >2000 25 >2500 50 >2800 60 > >-g Actually, I think these percentages are high, but based on your chart: 2900 64 3000 66 3100 67 3200 67.4 etc. The only way to get to a 100% draw capability is: 1) IF the game is drawn with best play. 2) IF a pool of computers could play best play. Otherwise, you will not get there. Also, I have the impression (but have no data to back it up) that computers draw a LOT less against each other than human GMs draw against each other. Does anybody have any statistics on this? If this is the case, there are probably a lot of "human psychology" factors which result in more human draws (e.g. lack of desire, inability to see the winning path, sufficient results for this portion of a tournament, etc.). KarinsDad :)
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