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Subject: Re: Bushinksy says No GM will be able to win against a comp in 8 game match!

Author: Pete Galati

Date: 23:45:34 04/19/00

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On April 19, 2000 at 23:19:22, Drazen Marovic wrote:

> In around 3 years Bushinsky hypothesizes no human can win in an 8 game match.
>Well If deep blue is rebuilt and upgraded then yes, oterwise no IMHO.  PC comps
>will be between 2500 and 2680 for the next 8 years IMHO.
>
>"Shay Bushinsky answers
>
>
>The term unbeatable is a very tough word indeed. I cannot say that a computer
>will ever be unbeatable in any given game in the near future, but I do see a
>time – maybe in about three years from now, when a computer will always prevail
>in an 8 game match against the strongest human "
>
>Taken from the kasparov site

People have allways predicted the progress of Chess programs with too much
optimism, he won't be the first Nostradomis that was a little bit off.  I have
no idea how long that would take, I'm not qualified to make a prediction, but
I'm not noticing any amazing new groundbreaking going on at the moment.

My observation is that the weaker programs are starting to catch up with the
stronger programs, and that can only happen when the stronger programs are _not_
making large leaps and bounds.  I'm sure Bushinsky is very wrong.

Pete



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