Author: Tom Kerrigan
Date: 15:58:41 04/24/00
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On April 24, 2000 at 16:12:46, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On April 24, 2000 at 15:39:41, Tom Kerrigan wrote: > >>On April 24, 2000 at 14:15:16, Robert Hyatt wrote: >> >>>You can prove that blitz ratings are _not_ good predictors for standard ratings >>>in every case. And _that_ was the issue. Bertil mentioned Genius and Nimzo >>>as two cases. Ed added Rebel as a third. I had already added crafty as the >>>first name mentioned... So I don't care if, on some occasions, a blitz rating >>>does predict a standard rating. I care more about on some occasions, a blitz >>>rating does _not_ predict a standard rating. >> >>So you got a list of people who don't care for blitz matches. Maybe they have >>some anecdotal evidence showing that blitz matches are useless. But has anything >>seriously been done to prove this? >> >>Experiments have shown that computer-computer match results can swing wildly, >>even if you play 100 games. So if you really want to prove that blitz match >>results are useless, it seems to me that you would have to play two matches of >>at least 100 games each between two programs. And that would just prove that the >>blitz results are useless for _those two programs playing against each other_. >>It would take a tremendous amount of effort to prove that blitz results are >>useless in general, even if you only take the top dozen or so programs into >>consideration. >> >>>enough said... >> >>You're not allowed to end discussions here. >> >>-Tom > > >Who said "blitz matches are _useless_???" I said "blitz matches do not show >how the same two programs will do at longer time controls." Care to join the >right conversation? And I can certainly end a discussion here from my end... My apologies. I thought you could make the logical "leap of faith" and tack on the necessary "... for predicting performance at longer time controls." -Tom
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