Author: Mogens Larsen
Date: 23:31:37 05/01/00
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On May 01, 2000 at 23:43:14, Chessfun wrote: >If Crafty had won the first set 11 - 9 I wouldn't have questioned >it. But Fritz had won it 15-5 therefore it was natural to conclude >there was a problem when you have another identical set with a totally >different set of results. Now, it's no longer possible to confirm the hypothesis that you would have accepted the result 11-9, but since you revealed the problem I think you would have. My objection is that you conclude there is a problem on the basis of two testsets. Even 20-0 for Crafty is possible, even though less probable. >I had not intended to run it twice, it had looped through the night. >If there was only one set of results I would have looked at those games >on alternate machines to confirm some of the moves. This I do regardless >of winner. It is still unclear to me, how you checked the results. If it isn't to much a bother please explain how you checked the results. It can't just be the comparison of game score, or? >Did I expect Fritz to win. Yes sure, I have said that since my very >first post after Jouni's. I expect it to win with ponder=off or ponder=on. You inadvertently proved that the probablity of a 12-8 win for Crafty isn't zero. >Does this mean I will/would post results that don't exist? if that were >the case then there would have been no need to mention the second set >of 5/0 scores, or the problems with autoplayer at 25/0. No, that was very honest of you. Sincerely, Mogens
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