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Subject: The future of chess.

Author: Peter Kasinski

Date: 11:15:13 05/18/00



I predict that in the near future most chess events will involve computer
participants.  I expect that the title “Human World Champion” will gain some
acceptance by 2001, and achieve widespread use by 2003. In that, it will be akin
to the title awarded to women today – important, but denoting a subset
nonetheless.

This year we shall see a slow but steady transformation in the way GM’s treat
computer opponents. Soon they will be careful about not offending operators.
Because that’s where the money is. Because not all GM’s will be invited. And
because computer-free national championships will be relegated to a peripheral
status.

The tide will be joined by the GM-supreme. Mr. Kasparov will accept a challenge
from one of the micros. He will do it for two reasons: a) for money; and b)
because after explaining that this challenger is more formidable than the “old
and dismantled” Deep Blue, he will get his rematch. Coincidentally, both
Microsoft and Intel will silently accede to his assessment.

All this will be neither right, nor wrong. Not any more appalling than it may be
desirable. It will simply happen. If GM’s are smart, they will agree to faster
time controls in return for the right to use their notes during the game. Oh,
and they should have no problem getting a 2-minute commercial break every 10
moves or so. Just watch.

Regards,
PK



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