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Subject: Re: Ply Depth in relation to Elo again...

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 06:07:16 05/23/00

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On May 23, 2000 at 01:18:21, Vincent Vega wrote:

>On May 22, 2000 at 23:02:36, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On May 22, 2000 at 22:24:20, Mark Young wrote:
>>
>>>You are wrong, there is a lot of "say" that shows as you increase ply depth the
>>>next ply you increase gets fewer and fewer rating points.
>>>
>>
>>
>>Where?  IE I have seen this _said_ several times.  But I have never seen it
>>_shown_.  Two good examples to the contrary are the "crafty goes deep" and
>>"dark thought goes deep" published in the JICCA.  Both suggest that at least
>>until we reach depth 15/16, each additional ply is revealing new and more
>>important information about a position...  and resulting in steadily improving
>>play...
>>
>>I think the programs are getting stronger every year, even if nothing is changed
>>but faster hardware...  and it is reasonably linear...  so far.
>
>I've started doing some experiments to determine if there is a rating increase
>falloff with longer times and the initial results seem to confirm my guess that
>there will indeed be a falloff due to an increasing number of draws.  So far
>I've done mostly Crafty self-play tests at short time controls and only few test
>games with other programs and longer time controls so the results aren't
>definite.  I'll try to do more testing but I've been busy lately.


Program A vs Program A is not a good test.  Also blitz games won't show a
thing.  The question is does every ply boost the rating the same amount?  To
answer this you have to be able to search to depths of 15-16 plies.  No point
in comparing depth 5 to depth 6...  it is more important to compare depth 15 to
depth 16.



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