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Subject: Is the crafty approach to pondering the right one?+suggestion

Author: Oliver Roese

Date: 07:28:57 05/24/00


Hi all!

This question is about pondering during the opponents time...
Crafty does the following:
It predicts the oppononts move, assuming "optimal" play and then starts to
work until the opponent moves.
If it predicts the opponents move correctly it has a great edge, otherwise
only some hashtableentries.
If it wouldnt predict the opponents move it would gain a small contribution to
_every_ move.
Obviously the better it predicts the opponents move, the better is the first
method.
From my experience as a mere chessplayer i would say the following:
-Predicting the opponents move is very difficult even in games of the
highest value (disregarding trivial cases and extraordinary circumstances).
-Intuitively i would judge a small contribution to every move as more
worthfully than an extremly big one that occurs seldomly
To say it exaggerated: If you have 20 moves to made and distribute
your resources evenly, you may have a chance. If you invest all in the first
move, making the other 19 moves very bad, you are dead for sure.
In more general terms:
The relative benefit of predicted moves decreases rapidly with increasing
searchdepth, i think.

Maybe one could use a hybrid approach?
What is the reason to having this in crafty?
Thanks in advance for any input and giving me some of your time.

Oliver Roese



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