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Subject: Pondering and diminishing return ?

Author: pete

Date: 07:24:12 05/25/00

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On May 25, 2000 at 09:22:46, Mogens Larsen wrote:

>On May 25, 2000 at 09:04:31, blass uri wrote:
>
>>I disagree.
>>correct pondering happens often also in blitz.
>>Maybe it happen more often than in tournament time control but I will be very
>>surprised if it happens less than 30% of the moves.
>>
>>Uri
>
>Well, 30% is less than 50% the last time I checked. The question I would like
>answered is:
>
>Does the importance of 70% incorrect moves pondered overshadow the 30% correct
>moves pondered?
>
>I'm quite sure that it does.
>
>Best wishes...
>Mogens

From what I have observed correct pondering tends to be above 50 % percent in
computer-computer matches most of the time . I have explained this to myself
that all the programs despite their obvious differences do very similar things
and so often come to similar results .

I haven't seen a clear trend yet that this number goes down in Blitz games . Has
there been any published analysis of this question somewhere ?

In fact it seems to me that when there is _no_ diminishing return or only a very
tiny one a logical conclusion is that pondering will be of similar usefulness at
any time control .

pete



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