Author: Mogens Larsen
Date: 07:36:21 05/25/00
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On May 25, 2000 at 10:24:12, pete wrote: >From what I have observed correct pondering tends to be above 50 % percent in >computer-computer matches most of the time . I have explained this to myself >that all the programs despite their obvious differences do very similar things >and so often come to similar results . > >I haven't seen a clear trend yet that this number goes down in Blitz games . Has >there been any published analysis of this question somewhere ? No, I don't think so. I just assumed that the ability to ponder the correct moves differs if the program has 10 seconds or 2 minutes. That might be incorrect, but I really don't think so. Because there's two uncertainties involved; program A's ability to find a reasonable move with less time and program B's ability to calculate that same move with less time. With more time the probability of a match increases, because the difference in approach to search evens out over time. >In fact it seems to me that when there is _no_ diminishing return or only a very >tiny one a logical conclusion is that pondering will be of similar usefulness at >any time control . No, that's not a logical conclusion IMO. Would pondering a wrong move be more or less hurtful to the search itself if the programs has 10 seconds or 2 minutes? Best wishes... Mogens
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