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Subject: Re: Interesting result from SSDF

Author: Jouni Uski

Date: 22:13:49 06/05/00

Go up one level in this thread


On June 05, 2000 at 21:58:33, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On June 05, 2000 at 21:10:03, Wayne Lowrance wrote:
>
>>On June 05, 2000 at 02:39:35, blass uri wrote:
>>
>>>On June 05, 2000 at 02:33:01, Jeremiah Penery wrote:
>>>
>>>>On June 05, 2000 at 02:17:57, Jouni Uski wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Look at this:
>>>>>
>>>>>Junior 6      1111½0½111101½1½11½1½1½111101101111111111 33.5/41
>>>>>Crafty 17.07  0000½1½000010½0½00½0½0½000010010000000000  7.5/41
>>>>>Note 10 lost games in row. This result indicates 260 rating points difference.
>>>>>May be SSDF should update to 17.10 soon!
>>>>>
>>>>>Jouni
>>>>
>>>>I thought they did.  As far as I ever saw in the posted SSDF games/results,
>>>>Junior6 was never very much ahead of Crafty in the match...
>>>
>>>The games that were posted were between Fritz6 and Crafty and not between
>>>Junior6 and Crafty and it was also with Crafty17.07
>>>
>>>Uri
>>This does not make sense. Crafty hangs tough with Fritz, Junior kills crafty and
>>Junior and fritz are very close. With that many games played I would not expect
>>to see that result for crafty. Crafty is a hell of a program and Junior is not
>>that superior unless played at fast time controls where crafty falls short of
>>the commercials (that evaluation is mine, Dr Bob may disagree).
>>Wayne
>
>No.  I have always agreed that it is not doing as well in blitz as it is doing
>at longer time controls.
>
>I am concerned about a 10-0 run, because I simply don't see nor expect that
>against my program, or against any other program.  It suggests that something
>has either gotten corrupted, the opening is not being controlled by book
>learning, or something else.  I'll try to look when I have time, but it sure
>looks odd...
>
>And then again, it could be perfectly correct for all I know.

I made small calculation: In SSDF Junior is 65 points better than Crafty, so it
can except 0.592 points/game. This means that probability for 10 in row is
    10
0.592    = 0.005 i.e. 0,5% so it's not impossible, but happens only once in
190 try.

Jouni



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