Author: Torstein Hall
Date: 06:42:06 06/14/00
Go up one level in this thread
On June 14, 2000 at 05:47:59, blass uri wrote: >On June 14, 2000 at 05:19:58, pete wrote: > >>> Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws >>> >>> 1 crafty : 2035 153 152 20 60.0 % 1965 20.0 % >>> 2 anmon : 1965 152 153 20 40.0 % 2035 20.0 % >>> >>>Individual statistics: >>> >>>(1) crafty : 20 (+ 10,= 4,- 6), 60.0 % >>> >>>anmon : 20 (+ 10,= 4,- 6), 60.0 % >>> >>> >>>(2) anmon : 20 (+ 6,= 4,- 10), 40.0 % >>> >>>crafty : 20 (+ 6,= 4,- 10), 40.0 % >>> >>> >>>According to the "whoisbetter" prgram by Steve Maughan. >>>From the results of the games "whoisbetter" is 76% sure that crafty is better >>>than anmon. ........oh well ;) >> >> >>I guess "whoisbetter" is based on common statistics so you would have to >>continue until you get to 95% to have a significant result but my statistics is >>really rusty ;) > >All this statistics is wrong because results of chess games are not independent >events. > >Uri Why do you say that each game is not an independent event? I guess you do not think that the Comp. on the loosing side is getting psyched out... :-) Torstein
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