Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 19:30:51 06/30/00
Four Crown division: Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws -------------- ---- --- --- ----- ------ ----- ------- Crafty : 2512 16 21 1130 66.9 % 2390 25.6 % SOS : 2443 25 28 562 60.1 % 2371 21.7 % Comet : 2429 17 17 1314 56.3 % 2385 23.9 % LGoliath : 2429 22 19 850 53.5 % 2404 26.4 % AnMon : 2408 23 19 860 52.0 % 2394 24.2 % Phalanx : 2394 18 21 1000 48.6 % 2403 20.7 % Gromit3 : 2384 38 30 342 50.3 % 2382 21.6 % Insomniac : 2384 50 45 167 55.4 % 2346 24.6 % TCBishop : 2374 21 24 796 47.6 % 2391 21.6 % Gromit2 : 2356 25 27 545 44.1 % 2397 24.4 % Amy : 2356 25 36 486 64.6 % 2252 13.6 % Francesca : 2338 24 27 572 45.2 % 2371 25.3 % ZChess : 2328 21 25 701 47.6 % 2345 23.1 % Yace : 2326 35 30 367 52.7 % 2307 23.7 % Bringer : 2308 26 30 499 48.5 % 2318 21.2 % My predicted winner: Crafty My predicted sleeper: Yace. I also predict that Bringer will not finish last. Three Crown division: Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws -------------- ---- --- --- ----- ------ ----- ------- ArasanX : 2285 37 31 344 51.5 % 2275 20.3 % LambChop : 2277 41 34 291 38.3 % 2360 19.6 % GnuChess4 : 2255 65 67 99 46.5 % 2280 14.1 % Ant : 2253 31 28 464 52.9 % 2233 19.2 % InmiChess3 : 2237 41 46 215 47.7 % 2253 17.2 % ExChess3 : 2225 26 28 564 56.5 % 2180 15.4 % Knightx : 2205 50 48 174 43.1 % 2253 17.2 % Dragon : 2163 59 36 212 30.0 % 2310 15.6 % GnuChess5 : 2154 50 66 130 64.2 % 2052 16.2 % Fortress : 2143 67 68 92 56.0 % 2101 16.3 % LDBlanche : 2122 55 42 176 35.2 % 2228 19.3 % Amyan : 2084 50 55 166 55.7 % 2044 7.8 % My predicted winner: ArasanX My predicted sleepers: Gnuchess5 (calibrated with the wrong version -- MUCH stronger than the numbers indicate) InmiChess & ExChess are also strong. Two Crown division: Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws -------------- ---- --- --- ----- ------ ----- ------- Gully2 : 2060 59 64 119 49.6 % 2063 10.1 % Cilian : 2046 46 40 213 39.0 % 2124 20.7 % ColChess : 2045 65 69 92 58.2 % 1988 18.5 % SSEChess : 2006 81 49 114 29.4 % 2158 14.9 % Sjeng : 2002 48 42 205 40.2 % 2071 17.1 % Averno : 1990 61 34 239 31.0 % 2129 7.5 % Freyr : 1962 63 97 83 64.5 % 1858 3.6 % Crux : 1952 87 97 52 48.1 % 1966 15.4 % DChess : 1919 77 57 109 39.0 % 1997 6.4 % NewRival : 1908 87 68 73 35.6 % 2011 16.4 % Faile : 1890 96 66 76 34.9 % 1999 9.2 % Chessterfield : 1862 65 20 499 19.7 % 2105 4.2 % My predicted winner: Gully2 My predicted sleepers: Faile (massive update), Sjeng (major update) One Crown division: Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws -------------- ---- --- --- ----- ------ ----- ------- Monik : 1845 75 67 83 52.4 % 1828 18.1 % TSCP : 1816 51 46 180 42.5 % 1869 13.9 % SnailSCP : 1761 113 73 57 29.8 % 1910 14.0 % Zephyr : 1747 144 68 55 21.8 % 1968 10.9 % Ozwald : 1729 68 66 91 42.3 % 1783 18.7 % Noonian : 1691 158 47 90 14.4 % 2000 6.7 % Storm : 1648 130 47 105 21.0 % 1879 1.9 % LarsenVB : 1567 292 185 11 9.1 % 1967 18.2 % Golem01 : 1397 194 49 75 8.0 % 1821 10.7 % Raffaela : 1050 0 0 3 0.0 % 1650 0.0 % My predicted winner: TSCP! (my only upset prediction). More than half of the games are based on a 1.42 and lower, which is about 200 ELO below 1.5x, I think. My predicted sleepers: All of them. This is the wide open division, since the calibration is not very accurate.
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Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
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