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Subject: DJ predictions for last 5 games.

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 12:40:14 07/10/00


DJ6 has played 4 games against opponents with average ratings of
2685.  DJ6 score is +1 =3 -0 for a TPR of 2785.  Not bad at all!

But the next 5 games will be very tough for DJ6 in my opinion.

Game                        I Guess
Kramnik (2770) – Junior 6    0-1
Junior 6 - Akopian (2660)    1-0
Anand (2762) – Junior 6      0-1
Junior 6 - Piket (2649)      1-0
Leko – Junior 6 (2743)       0-1

This would give DJ6 4.5 out of 9 for 50%, a GM norm, score of
+3 =3 -3, a TPR of 2702, and 180 point gaim from the Dual processor
performance rating (or about 100 points for each doubling of the
speed against competition rated 300+ points higher).  Of course this
may not be correct.  This is just pure speculation for fun.  :)

DJ6 has several things going against it.  Three games as black vs
two games as white.  The 2700+ players are all playing white and
the two other GM's are very good.  I think Anand
is a lock for a win (just a guess) and I expect Kramnik has seen enough
of DJ6 in this tournament to be ready for the beast.  Akopian and Piket
will have the benefit of analysis from today's game as well as watching
Kramnik and Anand.  This is all silly ofcourse,
chess is played over the board and lots can happen.  GM's make mistakes,
get tired, and get frustrated.  Operators get tired and make mistakes.
Machines crash, power failures, other components fail.  This will be
fun to watch.  :)

What do you think.  I am no expert, so let me hear your thoughts.  :)

Best Regards,
Chris Carson



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