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Subject: Re: DJ predictions for last 5 games.

Author: Enrique Irazoqui

Date: 12:47:49 07/10/00

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On July 10, 2000 at 15:40:14, Chris Carson wrote:

>DJ6 has played 4 games against opponents with average ratings of
>2685.  DJ6 score is +1 =3 -0 for a TPR of 2785.  Not bad at all!
>
>But the next 5 games will be very tough for DJ6 in my opinion.
>
>Game                        I Guess
>Kramnik (2770) – Junior 6    0-1
>Junior 6 - Akopian (2660)    1-0
>Anand (2762) – Junior 6      0-1
>Junior 6 - Piket (2649)      1-0
>Leko – Junior 6 (2743)       0-1
>
>This would give DJ6 4.5 out of 9

Nope. That gives DJ a perfect 100% score in the last 5 games, a total of 7.5 out
of 9 and an astronomical rating. :)

> for 50%, a GM norm, score of
>+3 =3 -3, a TPR of 2702, and 180 point gaim from the Dual processor
>performance rating (or about 100 points for each doubling of the
>speed against competition rated 300+ points higher).  Of course this
>may not be correct.

Probably not. I don't think that doubling the speed has the same effect against
humans and against computers.

>  This is just pure speculation for fun.  :)
>
>DJ6 has several things going against it.  Three games as black vs
>two games as white.  The 2700+ players are all playing white and
>the two other GM's are very good.  I think Anand
>is a lock for a win (just a guess) and I expect Kramnik has seen enough
>of DJ6 in this tournament to be ready for the beast.  Akopian and Piket
>will have the benefit of analysis from today's game as well as watching
>Kramnik and Anand.  This is all silly ofcourse,
>chess is played over the board and lots can happen.  GM's make mistakes,
>get tired, and get frustrated.  Operators get tired and make mistakes.
>Machines crash, power failures, other components fail.  This will be
>fun to watch.  :)
>
>What do you think.  I am no expert, so let me hear your thoughts.  :)

Only that, so far and in my non-expert opinion, Junior's performance is
astonishing.

Enrique

>Best Regards,
>Chris Carson



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