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Subject: Re: To Dr. Hyaat

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 12:01:03 07/14/00

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On July 14, 2000 at 14:27:05, Jerry Adams wrote:

>Is Deep junior Grandmaster strength?

If the message is only to one person, then use email.

DJ played extremely well in this tournament.  One person tried anti-computer
strategy and it worked.  Given enough games, will the GM's figure out ways to
beat it?

Nobody knows.

I think it very likely that DJ is GM strength.  However, just by using the
qualifications for a regular GM, DJ clearly does not qualify as a GM.

However, I do feel that Dortmund could be considered as earning one GM norm
(whether the authorities recognize it or not).

To become a GM, many games must be played.  Suppose that someone memorizes a
particular opening, having discovered two or three novelties,  and uses it to
breeze through a tournament.  However, subsequent analysis of the games shows
the future opponents what these novelties are, and also, they try to avoid his
favorite opening lines.  Will he fair as well in the next tournament?   Probably
not.  There is a reason that it takes a lot of games to become a GM.  That is
because a few games may or may not have a strong connection with a player's real
strength.

Is Deep Junior of GM strength?
For this tournement the TPR says 'yes'.
But we don't know the answer to that question.  Not scientifically anyway.

There are some people who feel strongly that by looking at a single game, they
can accurately gague the true strength of a chess player.

Maybe they can, but not with scientific measure.  And (I feel) they can be
wrong.  At any rate, eventually -- if DJ is allowed to play enough games -- we
will certainly know if it is of GM strength.

For now, it is still "How many angels can dance on the head of a pin?"

In other words, lacking sufficient data you can draw any conclusion you like.
It might be the right conclusion.  It might be the wrong conclusion.  Time will
tell.

If I were a GM and facing computers in a future chess match, I would read the
Anti-computer chess page, and study the games.  I would try strategies against
computer opponents and learn how to beat them.  I think eventually computers
will be the best players in the world.  Whether they are GM's or not, we cannot
be certain, but evidence is mounting.  Will they hold their lofty spot once the
GM's learn to play them?  I think not.  They will be toppled, only to rise again
and eventually surpass them.  But that is not a scientific judgement, only my
impression.




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