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Subject: Re: Upon scientific truth - the nature of information

Author: blass uri

Date: 15:33:08 07/15/00

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On July 15, 2000 at 18:17:35, Mogens Larsen wrote:

>On July 15, 2000 at 17:43:47, blass uri wrote:
>
>>You can.
>>You cannot say about one of them that it has more than 2500 but you can say that
>>the best of them is better than 2500(You do not know which one of them is the
>>best because you have not enough information)
>
>No, you can't do that with statistical significance. As soon as you pick a
>program the uncertainty rises and the claim of GM strength vanishes. If you
>consider programs as a whole, some programs will have ratings above and below
>2500, but that's irrelevant if you make a claim about a specific program. And a
>claim based on several programs is obviously a ludicrous thought.

I did not make a claim about a specific program but only that data can prove
that there is a program with rating>2500 without telling me which program.

Uri



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