Author: Mogens Larsen
Date: 16:57:37 07/15/00
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On July 15, 2000 at 19:24:29, ShaktiFire wrote: >That is an interesting point. I wonder, do you know the elo formulation >enough to say the uncertainty. For example, Deep Jr. will achieve a TPR >based on playing a 9 game tournament. Now if we consider the TPR an >estimate of the real elo rating, what is the uncertainty using only 9 games. >How many games required to achieve say a 90% chance of having an elo >rating within + - 25 pts. of the TPR? No, I don't know the ELO formulation, but I'm sure it can be found at several chess sites. Never had the use for it myself besides my own engine tournaments and I use EloStat to calculate that for me. However, I'm quite sure that you can say very little about a program strength based on 9 games. Best wishes... Mogens
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