Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 01:02:03 07/18/00
Go up one level in this thread
On July 18, 2000 at 02:58:00, blass uri wrote: >On July 18, 2000 at 02:31:04, blass uri wrote: > >>Some people(probably Hyatt and Hsu) believe that Deep Junior has no chance >>against Deep blue chip if Hsu decide to develop it. >>Some people(probably amir Ban) believe that the opposite is correct. >> >> >>I suggest the sides will do a bet of 100,000$ about the question who is right. $100,000 won't even begin to cover Hsu's costs. Make it several million dollars, and I think you will see action. But who's going to sponsor it? Are either Hsu or Amir stupid enough to bet millions of dollars on a hunch? >>If Amir is sure that Deep Junior is better then he can agree to a match about >>this question. >> >>If hsu is sure that he is going to win in a 20 game match then he can agree >>about a match and agree about a date in 2001 to begin the match. >>Hsu does not have to worry about the risk of losing money to develop his chip >>because the money can come from winning the bet. The chip is pretty much developed already. But the major costs come from elsewhere. The $100K won't even cover the documentation costs. >>I believe that people from both sides can also be involved in the bet to support >>the programmers. >> >>Example: Bob Hyatt may put money on the bet for Deep blue chip and if Deep blue >>chip wins then Hsu is going to get half of the money. What?! >>Do the sides agree to this idea? That's just about the nuttiest thing I have ever heard. >I think that there is a better idea because I am not sure if a bet is legal. > >If Hsu wants to sell his Deep blue Chip in the future he can do this match >without a bet in 2001 and I guess that if Deep Blue Chip wins then he can sell >at least 5000 deep blue chips. > >If he earns 100$ for every Deep blue chip he can earn enough money to justify >the money that he needs to pay in order to develop the deep blue chip. I think you are seriously underestimating the development costs. And just because it works does not mean there will be a market. >The fact that Hsu does not do it cause people to believe that amir is right >about deep blue and that Deep Junior is better than Deeper blue. If they formed such a bet, I would conclude that both parties were idiots.
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